Insurance - Property & Casualty
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MCY vs ERIE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Brokers
MCY vs ERIE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Brokers |
| Market Cap | $5.42B | $10.01B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.14B | $4.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $840M | $571M |
| Gross Margin | 43.9% | 18.1% |
| Operating Margin | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| Forward P/E | 10.9x | 17.1x |
| Total Debt | $594M | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.32B | $346M |
MCY vs ERIE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury General Cor… (MCY) | 100 | 243.4 | +143.4% |
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 120.3 | +20.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MCY vs ERIE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MCY is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 9.4%, EPS growth 15.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 18.0%
- 9.4% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2%
- Lower P/E (10.9x vs 17.1x)
ERIE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.16, yield 2.2%
- 171.6% 10Y total return vs MCY's 127.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.16, current ratio 1.27x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.4% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.9x vs 17.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs MCY's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs MCY's 0.54 | |
| Dividends | 2.2% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs MCY's 1.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +74.1% vs ERIE's -38.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs MCY's 8.9%, ROIC 29.5% vs 28.4% |
MCY vs ERIE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
MCY vs ERIE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCY leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCY and ERIE operate at a comparable scale, with $6.1B and $4.3B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.7% (MCY) to 13.2% (ERIE). On growth, MCY holds the edge at +10.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.1B | $4.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.1B | $786M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $840M | $571M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.4B | $537M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +43.9% | +18.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +17.0% | +17.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.7% | +13.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +23.1% | +12.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.5% | +2.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.8% | +7.9% |
Valuation Metrics
MCY leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.0x trailing earnings, MCY trades at a 51% valuation discount to ERIE's 20.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MCY offers better value at 1.32x vs ERIE's 1.50x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.4B | $10.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.7B | $9.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.02x | 20.41x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.88x | 17.15x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.32x | 1.50x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.37x | 12.14x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.91x | 2.46x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.24x | 5.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.27x | 17.53x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MCY delivers a 36.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $36 in annual profit, vs $25 for ERIE. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MCY scores 5/9 vs ERIE's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +36.5% | +25.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.9% | +17.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +28.4% | +29.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.4% | +32.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.25x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$721M | -$346M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.3B | $346M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $594M | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 37.63x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MCY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MCY five years ago would be worth $15,876 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,482 for ERIE. Over the past 12 months, MCY leads with a +74.1% total return vs ERIE's -38.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MCY at 50.8% vs ERIE's -0.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.0% | -20.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +74.1% | -38.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +243.2% | -0.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +58.8% | +14.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +127.5% | +171.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +50.8% | -0.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MCY and ERIE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ERIE is the less volatile stock with a 0.16 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MCY's 0.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MCY currently trades 97.2% from its 52-week high vs ERIE's 56.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.54x | 0.16x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $100.69 | $380.67 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $54.00 | $210.06 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.2% | +56.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.6 | 33.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 208K | 231K |
Analyst Outlook
ERIE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, ERIE offers the higher dividend yield at 2.23% vs MCY's 1.30%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $90.00 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.3% | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.27 | $4.83 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
MCY leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ERIE leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
MCY vs ERIE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MCY or ERIE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Mercury General Corporation (MCY) is the stronger pick with 9.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Mercury General Corporation (MCY) offers the better valuation at 10. 0x trailing P/E (10. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mercury General Corporation (MCY) a "Hold" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MCY or ERIE?
On trailing P/E, Mercury General Corporation (MCY) is the cheapest at 10.
0x versus Erie Indemnity Company at 20. 4x. On forward P/E, Mercury General Corporation is actually cheaper at 10. 9x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Erie Indemnity Company wins at 1. 26x versus Mercury General Corporation's 1. 43x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MCY or ERIE?
Over the past 5 years, Mercury General Corporation (MCY) delivered a total return of +58.
8%, compared to +14. 8% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ERIE returned +171. 6% versus MCY's +127. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MCY or ERIE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
16β versus Mercury General Corporation's 0. 54β — meaning MCY is approximately 232% more volatile than ERIE relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — MCY or ERIE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Mercury General Corporation (MCY) is pulling ahead at 9.
4% versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Mercury General Corporation grew EPS 15. 6% year-over-year, compared to -7. 5% for Erie Indemnity Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, MCY leads at 18. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MCY or ERIE?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
8% net margin versus 9. 0% for Mercury General Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERIE leads at 17. 7% versus 11. 1% for MCY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCY leads at 33. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MCY or ERIE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 26x versus Mercury General Corporation's 1. 43x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Mercury General Corporation (MCY) trades at 10. 9x forward P/E versus 17. 1x for Erie Indemnity Company — 6. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — MCY or ERIE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) offers the highest yield at 2. 2%, versus 1. 3% for Mercury General Corporation (MCY).
09Is MCY or ERIE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
16), 2. 2% yield, +171. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ERIE: +171. 6%, MCY: +127. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MCY and ERIE?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MCY is a small-cap deep-value stock; ERIE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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