Insurance - Property & Casualty
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MKL vs HCI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
MKL vs HCI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $22.08B | $1.99B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $16.57B | $902M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.77B | $309M |
| Gross Margin | 61.4% | 41.7% |
| Operating Margin | 13.9% | 31.6% |
| Forward P/E | 15.7x | 9.3x |
| Total Debt | $4.30B | $32M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.96B | $1.21B |
MKL vs HCI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markel Corporation (MKL) | 100 | 196.7 | +96.7% |
| HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) | 100 | 345.1 | +245.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MKL vs HCI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MKL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.44, yield 2.8%
- 2.8% yield; 6-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
HCI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 20.2%, EPS growth 179.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.3%
- 452.3% 10Y total return vs MKL's 88.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.39, Low D/E 3.1%, current ratio 145.90x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.2% revenue growth vs MKL's -1.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.3x vs 15.7x), PEG 0.19 vs 0.63 | |
| Quality / Margins | 34.3% margin vs MKL's 10.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.39 vs MKL's 0.44, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield; 6-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +5.2% vs MKL's -5.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.2% ROA vs MKL's 3.0% |
MKL vs HCI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MKL vs HCI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HCI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MKL is the larger business by revenue, generating $16.6B annually — 18.4x HCI's $902M. HCI is the more profitable business, keeping 34.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MKL's 10.7%. On growth, HCI holds the edge at +52.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $16.6B | $902M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.5B | $294M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.8B | $309M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.2B | $444M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +61.4% | +41.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.9% | +31.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.7% | +34.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +49.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.7% | +52.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.6% | +40.9% |
Valuation Metrics
HCI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.2x trailing earnings, HCI trades at a 40% valuation discount to MKL's 10.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), HCI offers better value at 0.13x vs MKL's 0.42x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $22.1B | $2.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $22.4B | $816M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.43x | 6.22x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.68x | 9.31x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.42x | 0.13x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.63x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.33x | 2.21x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.18x | 1.91x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.65x | 4.49x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HCI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HCI delivers a 29.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $10 for MKL. HCI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MKL's 0.23x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.6% | +29.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.0% | +12.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.7% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +14.9% | — |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.23x | 0.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $339M | -$1.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $4.0B | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.3B | $32M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 12.00x | 32.05x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HCI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HCI five years ago would be worth $21,154 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,893 for MKL. Over the past 12 months, HCI leads with a +5.2% total return vs MKL's -5.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HCI at 47.5% vs MKL's 9.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.2% | -15.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.5% | +5.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +30.5% | +221.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +48.9% | +111.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +88.3% | +452.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +9.3% | +47.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MKL and HCI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HCI is the less volatile stock with a 0.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MKL's 0.44 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MKL currently trades 79.9% from its 52-week high vs HCI's 73.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.44x | 0.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2207.59 | $210.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1719.41 | $136.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +79.9% | +73.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 27.1 | 39.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 58K | 163K |
Analyst Outlook
MKL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MKL as "Hold" and HCI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 10.5% upside for MKL (target: $1950) vs -18.3% for HCI (target: $127). MKL is the only dividend payer here at 2.75% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1950.00 | $126.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 14 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.8% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $48.55 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.9% | 0.0% |
HCI leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MKL leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
MKL vs HCI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MKL or HCI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the stronger pick with 20. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) offers the better valuation at 6. 2x trailing P/E (9. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MKL or HCI?
On trailing P/E, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the cheapest at 6. 2x versus Markel Corporation at 10. 4x. On forward P/E, HCI Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: HCI Group, Inc. wins at 0. 19x versus Markel Corporation's 0. 63x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MKL or HCI?
Over the past 5 years, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) delivered a total return of +111. 5%, compared to +48. 9% for Markel Corporation (MKL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HCI returned +452. 3% versus MKL's +88. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MKL or HCI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 39β versus Markel Corporation's 0. 44β — meaning MKL is approximately 12% more volatile than HCI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 23% for Markel Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MKL or HCI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is pulling ahead at 20. 2% versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: HCI Group, Inc. grew EPS 179. 8% year-over-year, compared to -15. 1% for Markel Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, HCI leads at 22. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MKL or HCI?
HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the more profitable company, earning 35. 6% net margin versus 12. 7% for Markel Corporation — meaning it keeps 35. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HCI leads at 31. 6% versus 16. 5% for MKL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MKL leads at 69. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MKL or HCI more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 19x versus Markel Corporation's 0. 63x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) trades at 9. 3x forward P/E versus 15. 7x for Markel Corporation — 6. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MKL: 10. 5% to $1950. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — MKL or HCI?
In this comparison, MKL (2.
8% yield) pays a dividend. HCI does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MKL or HCI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Markel Corporation (MKL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
44), 2. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MKL: +88. 3%, HCI: +452. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MKL and HCI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MKL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; HCI is a small-cap high-growth stock. MKL pays a dividend while HCI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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