Banks - Regional
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MSBI vs IBCP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
MSBI vs IBCP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional |
| Market Cap | $608M | $699M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $468M | $315M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-124M | $69M |
| Gross Margin | 57.4% | 69.6% |
| Operating Margin | -22.1% | 25.8% |
| Forward P/E | 9.1x | 9.6x |
| Total Debt | $432M | $117M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $128M | $52M |
MSBI vs IBCP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midland States Banc… (MSBI) | 100 | 189.3 | +89.3% |
| Independent Bank Co… (IBCP) | 100 | 245.7 | +145.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MSBI vs IBCP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MSBI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and bank quality.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 1.05, yield 4.5%
- NIM 3.6% vs IBCP's 3.3%
- Lower P/E (9.1x vs 9.6x)
IBCP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -0.3%, EPS growth 3.5%
- 184.6% 10Y total return vs MSBI's 76.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.83, Low D/E 23.2%, current ratio 370.62x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -0.3% NII/revenue growth vs MSBI's -14.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.1x vs 9.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs MSBI's 0.8% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.83 vs MSBI's 1.05, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 4.5% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs IBCP's 3.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +66.4% vs IBCP's +12.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs MSBI's 0.8% |
MSBI vs IBCP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MSBI vs IBCP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
IBCP leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSBI and IBCP operate at a comparable scale, with $468M and $315M in trailing revenue. IBCP is the more profitable business, keeping 21.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MSBI's -26.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $468M | $315M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$106M | $89M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$124M | $69M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $122M | $70M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +57.4% | +69.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -22.1% | +25.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -26.6% | +21.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +25.7% | +22.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -60.0% | +2.3% |
Valuation Metrics
MSBI leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $608M | $699M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $913M | $764M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.62x | 10.38x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.08x | 9.56x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.97x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 9.39x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.30x | 2.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.10x | 1.41x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.06x | 9.96x |
Profitability & Efficiency
IBCP leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
IBCP delivers a 14.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-22 for MSBI. IBCP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.23x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MSBI's 0.76x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), IBCP scores 8/9 vs MSBI's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -21.7% | +14.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.8% | +1.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -7.3% | +10.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.7% | +2.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.76x | 0.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $304M | $65M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $128M | $52M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $432M | $117M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.76x | 0.91x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
IBCP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in IBCP five years ago would be worth $16,369 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,964 for MSBI. Over the past 12 months, MSBI leads with a +66.4% total return vs IBCP's +12.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors IBCP at 32.1% vs MSBI's 18.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +35.1% | +7.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +66.4% | +12.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +67.7% | +130.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +19.6% | +63.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +76.8% | +184.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +18.8% | +32.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MSBI and IBCP each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
IBCP is the less volatile stock with a 0.83 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MSBI's 1.05 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSBI currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs IBCP's 90.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.05x | 0.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $28.46 | $37.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.24 | $29.63 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.6% | +90.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 76.4 | 50.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 139K | 176K |
Analyst Outlook
MSBI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MSBI as "Hold" and IBCP as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 11.9% upside for IBCP (target: $38) vs -6.5% for MSBI (target: $27). For income investors, MSBI offers the higher dividend yield at 4.47% vs IBCP's 3.05%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $26.50 | $38.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 7 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.5% | +3.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 11 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.27 | $1.03 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.6% | +1.8% |
IBCP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MSBI leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
MSBI vs IBCP: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MSBI or IBCP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) is the stronger pick with -0.
3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -14. 4% for Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI). Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) offers the better valuation at 10. 4x trailing P/E (9. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI) a "Hold" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MSBI or IBCP?
On forward P/E, Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 9. 1x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MSBI or IBCP?
Over the past 5 years, Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) delivered a total return of +63.
7%, compared to +19. 6% for Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: IBCP returned +184. 6% versus MSBI's +76. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MSBI or IBCP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
83β versus Midland States Bancorp, Inc. 's 1. 05β — meaning MSBI is approximately 27% more volatile than IBCP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 23% versus 76% for Midland States Bancorp, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MSBI or IBCP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) is pulling ahead at -0.
3% versus -14. 4% for Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Independent Bank Corporation grew EPS 3. 5% year-over-year, compared to -565. 2% for Midland States Bancorp, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MSBI or IBCP?
Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) is the more profitable company, earning 21.
7% net margin versus -26. 6% for Midland States Bancorp, Inc. — meaning it keeps 21. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: IBCP leads at 25. 8% versus -22. 1% for MSBI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — IBCP leads at 69. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MSBI or IBCP more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
(MSBI) trades at 9. 1x forward P/E versus 9. 6x for Independent Bank Corporation — 0. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for IBCP: 11. 9% to $38. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — MSBI or IBCP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI) offers the highest yield at 4. 5%, versus 3. 0% for Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP).
09Is MSBI or IBCP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
83), 3. 0% yield, +184. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (IBCP: +184. 6%, MSBI: +76. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MSBI and IBCP?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MSBI is a small-cap income-oriented stock; IBCP is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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