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NCLH vs BKNG vs CCL vs EXPE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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NCLH vs BKNG vs CCL vs EXPE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Travel Services | Travel Services | Leisure | Travel Services |
| Market Cap | $7.91B | $132.72B | $33.40B | $29.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $10.03B | $27.69B | $26.62B | $15.17B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $568M | $6.15B | $2.76B | $1.56B |
| Gross Margin | 43.0% | 100.0% | 37.4% | 88.8% |
| Operating Margin | 15.9% | 34.3% | 16.8% | 14.7% |
| Forward P/E | 8.2x | 16.3x | 12.2x | 13.0x |
| Total Debt | $14.61B | $19.29B | $27.99B | $6.67B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $210M | $17.20B | $1.93B | $6.98B |
NCLH vs BKNG vs CCL vs EXPE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Cruise Li… (NCLH) | 100 | 110.0 | +10.0% |
| Booking Holdings In… (BKNG) | 100 | 261.2 | +161.2% |
| Carnival Corporatio… (CCL) | 100 | 171.6 | +71.6% |
| Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) | 100 | 318.1 | +218.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NCLH vs BKNG vs CCL vs EXPE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NCLH is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value is your priority.
- Lower P/E (8.2x vs 12.2x)
BKNG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.74, yield 0.9%
- Rev growth 13.4%, EPS growth -4.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.3%
- 250.7% 10Y total return vs EXPE's 130.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.74, current ratio 1.33x
CCL lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
EXPE is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +52.8% vs BKNG's -16.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.4% revenue growth vs NCLH's 3.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.2x vs 12.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 22.2% margin vs NCLH's 5.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs CCL's 2.27 | |
| Dividends | 0.9% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs EXPE's 0.6%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +52.8% vs BKNG's -16.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.1% ROA vs NCLH's 2.5% |
NCLH vs BKNG vs CCL vs EXPE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NCLH vs BKNG vs CCL vs EXPE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
BKNG leads in 2 of 6 categories
EXPE leads 2 • NCLH leads 1 • CCL leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BKNG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BKNG is the larger business by revenue, generating $27.7B annually — 2.8x NCLH's $10.0B. BKNG is the more profitable business, keeping 22.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NCLH's 5.7%. On growth, BKNG holds the edge at +16.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $10.0B | $27.7B | $26.6B | $15.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.6B | $10.2B | $7.3B | $3.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $568M | $6.2B | $2.8B | $1.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$949M | $9.0B | $2.6B | $4.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +43.0% | +100.0% | +37.4% | +88.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +15.9% | +34.3% | +16.8% | +14.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +22.2% | +10.4% | +10.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -9.5% | +32.6% | +9.8% | +32.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.6% | +16.2% | +6.6% | +14.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.5% | +2.4% | +82.4% | +96.8% |
Valuation Metrics
NCLH leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.4x trailing earnings, CCL trades at a 48% valuation discount to BKNG's 25.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NCLH's 8.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BKNG's 13.4x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.9B | $132.7B | $33.4B | $29.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $22.3B | $134.8B | $59.5B | $29.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 19.13x | 25.87x | 13.37x | 25.77x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.20x | 16.32x | 12.24x | 13.02x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.16x | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.14x | 13.41x | 8.18x | 10.22x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.80x | 4.93x | 1.25x | 2.01x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.58x | — | 3.08x | 13.10x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 14.61x | 12.81x | 9.51x |
Profitability & Efficiency
EXPE leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EXPE delivers a 68.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $69 in annual profit, vs $22 for CCL. CCL carries lower financial leverage with a 2.28x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NCLH's 6.61x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CCL scores 7/9 vs EXPE's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +27.0% | — | +22.5% | +68.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | +21.1% | +5.3% | +6.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.5% | — | +8.9% | +40.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.2% | +75.4% | +11.8% | +23.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.61x | — | 2.28x | 2.62x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $14.4B | $2.1B | $26.1B | -$307M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $210M | $17.2B | $1.9B | $7.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $14.6B | $19.3B | $28.0B | $6.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.60x | 7.21x | 3.09x | 16.35x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
EXPE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BKNG five years ago would be worth $18,762 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,046 for NCLH. Over the past 12 months, EXPE leads with a +52.8% total return vs BKNG's -16.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EXPE at 40.2% vs NCLH's 6.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -24.4% | -19.4% | -12.2% | -10.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -0.5% | -16.8% | +37.9% | +52.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +20.8% | +65.4% | +156.0% | +175.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -39.5% | +87.6% | +1.5% | +46.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -65.0% | +250.7% | -31.1% | +130.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.5% | +18.3% | +36.8% | +40.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BKNG and EXPE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BKNG is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CCL's 2.27 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. EXPE currently trades 83.2% from its 52-week high vs BKNG's 3.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.26x | 0.74x | 2.27x | 1.47x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $27.18 | $5129.83 | $34.03 | $303.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $16.87 | $150.62 | $19.44 | $148.55 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +63.4% | +3.3% | +79.4% | +83.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.5 | 42.4 | 53.4 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 21.8M | 8.7M | 27.1M | 1.9M |
Analyst Outlook
BKNG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NCLH as "Buy", BKNG as "Buy", CCL as "Buy", EXPE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 40.4% upside for NCLH (target: $24) vs 7.7% for EXPE (target: $272). For income investors, BKNG offers the higher dividend yield at 0.89% vs EXPE's 0.60%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.18 | $231.72 | $36.17 | $272.35 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 37 | 71 | 47 | 75 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.9% | — | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.53 | — | $1.52 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | +4.9% | 0.0% | +6.5% |
BKNG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Analyst Outlook). EXPE leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
NCLH vs BKNG vs CCL vs EXPE: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is the stronger pick with 13. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 7% for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH). Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) offers the better valuation at 13. 4x trailing P/E (12. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) a "Buy" — based on 37 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE?
On trailing P/E, Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is the cheapest at 13.
4x versus Booking Holdings Inc. at 25. 9x. On forward P/E, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is actually cheaper at 8. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE?
Over the past 5 years, Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) delivered a total return of +87. 6%, compared to -39. 5% for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BKNG returned +250. 7% versus NCLH's -65. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus Carnival Corporation & plc's 2. 27β — meaning CCL is approximately 205% more volatile than BKNG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 7% for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is pulling ahead at 13. 4% versus 3. 7% for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Carnival Corporation & plc grew EPS 40. 3% year-over-year, compared to -52. 4% for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CCL leads at 29. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE?
Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is the more profitable company, earning 20. 1% net margin versus 4. 3% for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. — meaning it keeps 20. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BKNG leads at 34. 5% versus 13. 4% for EXPE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BKNG leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
(NCLH) trades at 8. 2x forward P/E versus 16. 3x for Booking Holdings Inc. — 8. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NCLH: 40. 4% to $24. 18.
08Which pays a better dividend — NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE?
In this comparison, BKNG (0.
9% yield), EXPE (0. 6% yield) pay a dividend. NCLH, CCL do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is NCLH or BKNG or CCL or EXPE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 0. 9% yield, +250. 7% 10Y return). Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) carries a higher beta of 2. 26 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BKNG: +250. 7%, NCLH: -65. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NCLH and BKNG and CCL and EXPE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NCLH is a small-cap quality compounder stock; BKNG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CCL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; EXPE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. BKNG, EXPE pay a dividend while NCLH, CCL do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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