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NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
$14.18$6.5B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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NCLH logo

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH
NYSE · Travel Services
$14.18
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$6.51B
P/E15.8x
52W High$26.09
Volume22.71M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Leverage Eases but Liquidity Remains Thin

Norwegian Cruise Line's fundamentals are stabilizing after a volatile post-pandemic period, with revenue growth moderating to 4.9% in 2026Q2 and gross margins plateauing near 40%. The company is deleveraging, as evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio falling from...

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NCLH price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-45% Peers

P/E is 45% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 15 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 85% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has stabilized at 4.9% year-over-year in 2026Q2, but gross margin has retreated from a peak of 47.1% in 2025Q3 to 39.9%, indicating a softening pricing environment.

Analyst Consensus+49.7% target
Buy(37 analysts)
19 Buy17 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Post-COVID recovery potential

The company has shown strong recovery post-COVID, with stock price appreciation of approximately 31% since previous coverage.

Attractive valuation metrics

NCLH's trailing and forward P/E ratios of 15.50 and 8.51 respectively indicate potential undervaluation.

Revenue growth upside

Bull case scenarios project revenue growth up to +12%, indicating significant upside potential.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NCLH-37.75%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
NCLH-44.54%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
NCLH-6.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.71%
5-Year Return
NCLH-48.04%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+66.40%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
15.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
9.2x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
7.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
15.8x
24.8x
33rd· Fair
EV/EBITDA
7.6x
11.1x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
N/A
15.8x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$24.19+70.6%
Base (Fair)$50.66+258.8%
Bull$105.11+641.3%
$24.19 Bear$50.66 Base$105.11 Bull
Current Market Price: $14.18
Trades at a 72.0% discount to Base DCF ($50.66)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$9.83B+3.7% YoY
Net income
$423M-53.5% YoY
Free cash flow
-$1.17B-239.5% YoY
Operating margin
16.2%+0.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)7.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)23.3%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$0.48+16.6%
vs $0.41
$2.6B-0.2%
vs $2.6B
Q2 2026
May 4, 2026
$0.23+53.3%
vs $0.15
$2.3B-1.1%
vs $2.4B
Q2 2026
Mar 2, 2026
$0.28+5.8%
vs $0.26
$2.2B-4.2%
vs $2.3B
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$1.20+3.4%
vs $1.16
$2.9B+25.4%
vs $2.3B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·12h ago
Royal Caribbean Group Falls 5% on $3B Sandals Resorts Stake; Carnival and Norwegian Slide 3%

Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:RCL | RCL Price Prediction) shares are sliding in Wednesday morning trading after the cruise operator confirmed overnight that it has signed an agreement to buy a stake in Sandals and Beaches Resorts.

Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know

The latest trading day saw Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) settling at $14.12, representing a -1.88% change from its previous close.

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
Here is What to Know Beyond Why Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) is a Trending Stock

Zacks.com users have recently been watching Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

Seeking Alpha·6d ago
Norwegian Cruise Line: More Pain Through 2027 - Swing Trade Potential Emerges

NCLH remains a Buy for swing traders, despite the ongoing macro and demand headwinds impacting near-term results. NCLH faces pressured net yields, declining load factors, and EBITDA through FY2027, but management's pricing and fleet strategies may stabilize performance. Valuation is compelling with NCLH trading below sector and historical averages, though high leverage and lack of dividends temper near-term upside.

Filtered for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NCLH against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NCLH logoNCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.Current
$14.18$6.51B15.763.67%4.31%23.29%—
CCL logoCCLCarnival Corporation & plc
$21.80$29.86B10.796.4%11.24%24.43%—
RCL logoRCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
$230.30$61.77B14.758.8%23.56%42.92%—
VIK logoVIKViking Holdings Ltd
$80.30$35.67B31.2521.89%18%146.63%—
ONEW logoONEWOneWater Marine Inc.
$9.94$165.18M-1.385.62%-6.72%-43.62%—
HGV logoHGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.
$35.60$2.8B40.001.32%3.38%13.31%—

Compare NCLH vs Peers

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CCL

Most directly comparable listed peer for NCLH.

Scale Benchmark

vs BKNG

Larger-name benchmark to compare NCLH against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CCL, RCL, VIK, ONEW

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NCLH SEC Filings & Documents

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 16, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 29, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Mar 2, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 28, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 4, 2025·SEC

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NCLH Frequently Asked Questions

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s revenue?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) reported $10.15B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 659% increase from $1.34B in 2004.

How fast is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. growing?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) grew revenue by 3.7% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is NCLH profitable?

Yes, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) is profitable, generating $760.8M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (4.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is NCLH's return on equity?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) has a return on equity (ROE) of 23.3%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s free cash flow?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) had negative free cash flow of $1.15B in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in NCLH back in 2004?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 22+ years of data

See returns →