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NDLS vs MCD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
NDLS vs MCD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $67M | $202.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $495M | $26.26B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-43M | $8.41B |
| Gross Margin | 8.9% | 57.4% |
| Operating Margin | -1.0% | 46.1% |
| Forward P/E | — | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $269M | $51.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1M | $1.08B |
NDLS vs MCD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noodles & Company (NDLS) | 100 | 24.1 | -75.9% |
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 152.5 | +52.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NDLS vs MCD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NDLS is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +38.7% vs MCD's -8.0%
MCD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.4%
- Rev growth 1.7%, EPS growth -1.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.7%
- 158.5% 10Y total return vs NDLS's -87.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.7% revenue growth vs NDLS's 0.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.0% margin vs NDLS's -8.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs NDLS's 0.59 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield; 26-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +38.7% vs MCD's -8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.9% ROA vs NDLS's -14.7%, ROIC 19.3% vs -1.5% |
NDLS vs MCD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NDLS vs MCD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.3B annually — 53.0x NDLS's $495M. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 32.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NDLS's -8.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $495M | $26.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $22M | $14.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$43M | $8.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$5M | $7.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +8.9% | +57.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1.0% | +46.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -8.6% | +32.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.0% | +28.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +31.0% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
NDLS leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, NDLS's 15.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MCD's 18.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $67M | $202.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $334M | $253.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.54x | 24.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 21.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.23x | 18.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.13x | 7.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 30.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MCD leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MCD scores 7/9 vs NDLS's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -14.7% | +13.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.5% | +19.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.2% | +23.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $268M | $50.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $269M | $51.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.47x | 7.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MCD five years ago would be worth $13,445 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,191 for NDLS. Over the past 12 months, NDLS leads with a +38.7% total return vs MCD's -8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MCD at 0.9% vs NDLS's -33.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +90.9% | -5.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +38.7% | -8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -70.2% | +2.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -88.1% | +34.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -87.0% | +158.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -33.2% | +0.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NDLS and MCD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NDLS's 0.59 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.59x | 0.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $13.20 | $341.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.77 | $282.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +85.8% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.5 | 31.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 88K | 2.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NDLS as "Hold" and MCD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 324.0% upside for NDLS (target: $48) vs 24.0% for MCD (target: $352). MCD is the only dividend payer here at 2.37% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $48.00 | $352.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 62 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $6.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.4% |
MCD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NDLS leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
NDLS vs MCD: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NDLS or MCD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger pick with 1.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 4% for Noodles & Company (NDLS). McDonald's Corporation (MCD) offers the better valuation at 24. 9x trailing P/E (21. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate McDonald's Corporation (MCD) a "Buy" — based on 62 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NDLS or MCD?
Over the past 5 years, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) delivered a total return of +34.
4%, compared to -88. 1% for Noodles & Company (NDLS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MCD returned +158. 5% versus NDLS's -87. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NDLS or MCD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus Noodles & Company's 0. 59β — meaning NDLS is approximately 430% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — NDLS or MCD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is pulling ahead at 1.
7% versus 0. 4% for Noodles & Company (NDLS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: McDonald's Corporation grew EPS -1. 5% year-over-year, compared to -15. 0% for Noodles & Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, MCD leads at 3. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NDLS or MCD?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
7% net margin versus -8. 6% for Noodles & Company — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 45. 2% versus -1. 0% for NDLS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCD leads at 56. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is NDLS or MCD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NDLS: 324.
0% to $48. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — NDLS or MCD?
In this comparison, MCD (2.
4% yield) pays a dividend. NDLS does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is NDLS or MCD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 4% yield, +158. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +158. 5%, NDLS: -87. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between NDLS and MCD?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
MCD pays a dividend while NDLS does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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