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NVAX vs GSK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Drug Manufacturers - General
NVAX vs GSK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Drug Manufacturers - General |
| Market Cap | $1.66B | $101.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $596M | $33.34B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-88M | $6.40B |
| Gross Margin | 84.6% | 72.9% |
| Operating Margin | -11.2% | 26.9% |
| Forward P/E | 4.0x | 10.4x |
| Total Debt | $249M | $17.69B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $241M | $3.39B |
NVAX vs GSK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) | 100 | 22.0 | -78.0% |
| GSK plc (GSK) | 100 | 120.3 | +20.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NVAX vs GSK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NVAX is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.22
- Rev growth 64.7%, EPS growth 306.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -11.1%
- 64.7% revenue growth vs GSK's 4.1%
GSK carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 62.8% 10Y total return vs NVAX's -89.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.44, current ratio 0.82x
- Beta 0.44, yield 6.6%, current ratio 0.82x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 64.7% revenue growth vs GSK's 4.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (4.0x vs 10.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 19.2% margin vs NVAX's -14.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.44 vs NVAX's 2.22 | |
| Dividends | 6.6% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +51.8% vs GSK's +41.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.3% ROA vs NVAX's -7.4% |
NVAX vs GSK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NVAX vs GSK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GSK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GSK is the larger business by revenue, generating $33.3B annually — 55.9x NVAX's $596M. GSK is the more profitable business, keeping 19.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NVAX's -14.7%. On growth, GSK holds the edge at +1.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $596M | $33.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$47M | $11.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$88M | $6.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$97M | $7.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +84.6% | +72.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -11.2% | +26.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -14.7% | +19.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -16.3% | +22.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -79.1% | +1.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -102.0% | +10.3% |
Valuation Metrics
NVAX leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.0x trailing earnings, NVAX trades at a 40% valuation discount to GSK's 6.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NVAX's 2.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GSK's 8.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.7B | $101.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.7B | $120.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 3.98x | 6.68x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 10.40x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.47x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 2.83x | 8.36x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.48x | 2.29x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 2.40x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.83x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — NVAX and GSK each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GSK scores 8/9 vs NVAX's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +31.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.4% | +8.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +22.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +100.4% | +21.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.11x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $8M | $14.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $241M | $3.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $249M | $17.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -6.40x | 12.86x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GSK leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GSK five years ago would be worth $15,260 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $630 for NVAX. Over the past 12 months, NVAX leads with a +51.8% total return vs GSK's +41.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GSK at 14.5% vs NVAX's 10.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +41.8% | +2.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +51.8% | +41.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.7% | +50.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.7% | +52.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -89.4% | +62.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.7% | +14.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NVAX and GSK each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GSK is the less volatile stock with a 0.44 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NVAX's 2.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.22x | 0.44x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.97 | $61.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.80 | $35.45 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.5% | +81.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.8 | 31.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.2M | 4.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NVAX as "Buy" and GSK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 78.0% upside for NVAX (target: $18) vs 4.0% for GSK (target: $52). GSK is the only dividend payer here at 6.56% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $18.00 | $52.45 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +6.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.44 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | 0.0% |
GSK leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). NVAX leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
NVAX vs GSK: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NVAX or GSK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the stronger pick with 64. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 1% for GSK plc (GSK). Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) offers the better valuation at 4. 0x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NVAX or GSK?
On trailing P/E, Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the cheapest at 4. 0x versus GSK plc at 6. 7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NVAX or GSK?
Over the past 5 years, GSK plc (GSK) delivered a total return of +52.
6%, compared to -93. 7% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GSK returned +62. 8% versus NVAX's -89. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NVAX or GSK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), GSK plc (GSK) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
44β versus Novavax, Inc. 's 2. 22β — meaning NVAX is approximately 405% more volatile than GSK relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — NVAX or GSK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is pulling ahead at 64. 7% versus 4. 1% for GSK plc (GSK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: GSK plc grew EPS 348. 4% year-over-year, compared to 306. 5% for Novavax, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GSK leads at 3. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NVAX or GSK?
Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the more profitable company, earning 39. 2% net margin versus 17. 5% for GSK plc — meaning it keeps 39. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVAX leads at 50. 1% versus 25. 5% for GSK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NVAX leads at 93. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NVAX or GSK more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NVAX: 78.
0% to $18. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NVAX or GSK?
In this comparison, GSK (6.
6% yield) pays a dividend. NVAX does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is NVAX or GSK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, GSK plc (GSK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
44), 6. 6% yield). Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) carries a higher beta of 2. 22 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GSK: +62. 8%, NVAX: -89. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NVAX and GSK?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NVAX is a small-cap high-growth stock; GSK is a mid-cap deep-value stock. GSK pays a dividend while NVAX does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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