Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
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OTLY vs LWAY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
OTLY vs LWAY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $338M | $406M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $893M | $212M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-152M | $14M |
| Gross Margin | 32.6% | 27.4% |
| Operating Margin | -6.8% | 7.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $514M | $360K |
| Cash & Equiv. | $64M | $6M |
OTLY vs LWAY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oatly Group AB (OTLY) | 100 | 2.3 | -97.7% |
| Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) | 100 | 466.7 | +366.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OTLY vs LWAY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
In this particular matchup, OTLY is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
LWAY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.72
- Rev growth 13.7%, EPS growth 50.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.5%
- 177.6% 10Y total return vs OTLY's -97.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.7% revenue growth vs OTLY's 4.7% | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.5% margin vs OTLY's -17.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.72 vs OTLY's 1.52, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +14.5% vs OTLY's 0.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.6% ROA vs OTLY's -19.5%, ROIC 17.8% vs -10.5% |
OTLY vs LWAY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LWAY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OTLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $893M annually — 4.2x LWAY's $212M. LWAY is the more profitable business, keeping 6.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to OTLY's -17.1%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $893M | $212M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$21M | $20M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$152M | $14M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$28M | $0 |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.6% | +27.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -6.8% | +7.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -17.1% | +6.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -3.2% | -7.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.6% | +18.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.8% | +15.8% |
Valuation Metrics
OTLY leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $338M | $406M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $787M | $401M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.15x | 29.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 21.49x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.89x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 19.89x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.39x | 1.91x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 16.69x | 4.83x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
LWAY leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LWAY delivers a 17.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $-4 for OTLY. LWAY carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to OTLY's 26.12x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -4.3% | +17.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -19.5% | +13.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -10.5% | +17.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -27.2% | +19.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 26.12x | 0.00x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $449M | -$5M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $64M | $6M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $514M | $360,000 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.41x | 256.99x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LWAY leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LWAY five years ago would be worth $54,499 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $268 for OTLY. Over the past 12 months, LWAY leads with a +14.5% total return vs OTLY's 0.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LWAY at 64.4% vs OTLY's -36.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -3.5% | +16.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | 0.0% | +14.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -74.9% | +344.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -97.3% | +445.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -97.3% | +177.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -36.9% | +64.4% |
Risk & Volatility
LWAY leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LWAY is the less volatile stock with a 0.72 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than OTLY's 1.52 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LWAY currently trades 77.9% from its 52-week high vs OTLY's 57.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.52x | 0.72x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $18.84 | $34.20 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.26 | $17.31 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +57.4% | +77.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.7 | 64.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 64K | 63K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates OTLY as "Hold" and LWAY as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 35.4% upside for OTLY (target: $15) vs 31.3% for LWAY (target: $35).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.64 | $35.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 6 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
LWAY leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). OTLY leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
OTLY vs LWAY: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OTLY or LWAY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) is the stronger pick with 13. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 7% for Oatly Group AB (OTLY). Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) offers the better valuation at 29. 9x trailing P/E (21. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — OTLY or LWAY?
Over the past 5 years, Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) delivered a total return of +445. 0%, compared to -97. 3% for Oatly Group AB (OTLY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LWAY returned +177. 6% versus OTLY's -97. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — OTLY or LWAY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 72β versus Oatly Group AB's 1. 52β — meaning OTLY is approximately 111% more volatile than LWAY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 26% for Oatly Group AB — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — OTLY or LWAY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) is pulling ahead at 13. 7% versus 4. 7% for Oatly Group AB (OTLY). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lifeway Foods, Inc. grew EPS 50. 8% year-over-year, compared to 25. 5% for Oatly Group AB. Over a 3-year CAGR, LWAY leads at 14. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — OTLY or LWAY?
Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 5% net margin versus -17. 7% for Oatly Group AB — meaning it keeps 6. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LWAY leads at 7. 6% versus -7. 9% for OTLY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — OTLY leads at 32. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is OTLY or LWAY more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for OTLY: 35.
4% to $14. 64.
07Which pays a better dividend — OTLY or LWAY?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is OTLY or LWAY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 72), +177. 6% 10Y return). Oatly Group AB (OTLY) carries a higher beta of 1. 52 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LWAY: +177. 6%, OTLY: -97. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between OTLY and LWAY?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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