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RIO vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
RIO vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial Materials | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $200.61B | $420.89B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $107.92B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $20.96B | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 27.7% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 27.2% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 12.3x | 39.2x |
| Total Debt | $13.86B | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6.83B | $9.98B |
RIO vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Tinto Group (RIO) | 100 | 186.4 | +86.4% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 753.0 | +653.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RIO vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RIO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.98, yield 4.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.98, Low D/E 23.9%, current ratio 1.63x
- Beta 0.98, yield 4.3%, current ratio 1.63x
CAT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth -14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.4%
- 12.0% 10Y total return vs RIO's 386.2%
- PEG 1.39 vs RIO's 1.60
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs RIO's -0.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.3x vs 39.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 19.4% margin vs CAT's 13.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.98 vs CAT's 1.54, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 4.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs CAT's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +181.8% vs RIO's +75.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.4% ROA vs CAT's 10.0%, ROIC 18.6% vs 15.9% |
RIO vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
RIO vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RIO is the larger business by revenue, generating $107.9B annually — 1.5x CAT's $70.8B. RIO is the more profitable business, keeping 19.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAT's 13.3%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $107.9B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $41.0B | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $21.0B | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $12.7B | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +27.7% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +27.2% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +19.4% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +11.8% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.1% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -21.6% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
RIO leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.2x trailing earnings, RIO trades at a 70% valuation discount to CAT's 48.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAT offers better value at 1.71x vs RIO's 1.85x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $200.6B | $420.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $207.6B | $454.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.21x | 48.04x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.28x | 39.18x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.85x | 1.71x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.02x | 33.72x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.74x | 6.23x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.83x | 19.90x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 33.56x | 40.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
RIO leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $34 for RIO. RIO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.24x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), RIO scores 7/9 vs CAT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +33.8% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +17.4% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +18.6% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +17.2% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.24x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.0B | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6.8B | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $13.9B | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.58x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $39,125 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,182 for RIO. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +181.8% total return vs RIO's +75.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 62.4% vs RIO's 21.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +26.5% | +51.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +75.5% | +181.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +77.3% | +328.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +41.8% | +291.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +386.2% | +1203.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +21.0% | +62.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — RIO and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
RIO is the less volatile stock with a 0.98 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.98x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $101.53 | $908.90 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $55.64 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.0% | +99.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — RIO and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates RIO as "Hold" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 1.2% upside for RIO (target: $102) vs -8.8% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, RIO offers the higher dividend yield at 4.28% vs CAT's 0.65%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $101.75 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 31 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.3% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $4.30 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.2% |
CAT leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). RIO leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
RIO vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RIO or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 7% for Rio Tinto Group (RIO). Rio Tinto Group (RIO) offers the better valuation at 14. 2x trailing P/E (12. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) a "Buy" — based on 53 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — RIO or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Rio Tinto Group (RIO) is the cheapest at 14.
2x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 48. 0x. On forward P/E, Rio Tinto Group is actually cheaper at 12. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Caterpillar Inc. wins at 1. 39x versus Rio Tinto Group's 1. 60x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — RIO or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +291. 3%, compared to +41. 8% for Rio Tinto Group (RIO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1203% versus RIO's +386. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — RIO or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Rio Tinto Group (RIO) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
98β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 58% more volatile than RIO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Rio Tinto Group (RIO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 24% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — RIO or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus -0. 7% for Rio Tinto Group (RIO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Rio Tinto Group grew EPS 14. 8% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAT leads at 4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — RIO or CAT?
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) is the more profitable company, earning 21.
5% net margin versus 13. 1% for Caterpillar Inc. — meaning it keeps 21. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: RIO leads at 29. 2% versus 16. 6% for CAT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RIO leads at 56. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is RIO or CAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 39x versus Rio Tinto Group's 1. 60x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Rio Tinto Group (RIO) trades at 12. 3x forward P/E versus 39. 2x for Caterpillar Inc. — 26. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RIO: 1. 2% to $101. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — RIO or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) offers the highest yield at 4. 3%, versus 0. 6% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
09Is RIO or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1203% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1203%, RIO: +386. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between RIO and CAT?
These companies operate in different sectors (RIO (Basic Materials) and CAT (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: RIO is a large-cap deep-value stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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