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RRGB vs MCD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
RRGB vs MCD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $81M | $202.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.21B | $26.26B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-23M | $8.41B |
| Gross Margin | 26.8% | 57.4% |
| Operating Margin | 0.2% | 46.1% |
| Forward P/E | — | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $514M | $51.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $20M | $1.08B |
RRGB vs MCD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Robin Gourmet B… (RRGB) | 100 | 26.6 | -73.4% |
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 152.5 | +52.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RRGB vs MCD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RRGB is the clearest fit if your priority is value and momentum.
- Better valuation composite
- +40.3% vs MCD's -8.0%
MCD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.4%
- Rev growth 1.7%, EPS growth -1.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.7%
- 158.5% 10Y total return vs RRGB's -94.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.7% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.0% margin vs RRGB's -1.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs RRGB's 2.10 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield; 26-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.3% vs MCD's -8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.9% ROA vs RRGB's -4.1%, ROIC 19.3% vs 0.5% |
RRGB vs MCD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
RRGB vs MCD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.3B annually — 21.7x RRGB's $1.2B. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 32.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RRGB's -1.9%. On growth, MCD holds the edge at +3.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.2B | $26.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $54M | $14.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$23M | $8.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $6M | $7.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +26.8% | +57.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.2% | +46.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -1.9% | +32.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.5% | +28.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.7% | +3.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +77.4% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
RRGB leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, RRGB's 10.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MCD's 18.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $81M | $202.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $575M | $253.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.82x | 24.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 21.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.67x | 18.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.07x | 7.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.07x | 30.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MCD leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MCD scores 7/9 vs RRGB's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.1% | +13.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +0.5% | +19.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +0.7% | +23.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $494M | $50.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $20M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $514M | $51.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.26x | 7.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MCD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MCD five years ago would be worth $13,445 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,050 for RRGB. Over the past 12 months, RRGB leads with a +40.3% total return vs MCD's -8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MCD at 0.9% vs RRGB's -33.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -10.9% | -5.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +40.3% | -8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -70.4% | +2.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -89.5% | +34.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | +158.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -33.3% | +0.9% |
Risk & Volatility
MCD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RRGB's 2.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MCD currently trades 83.1% from its 52-week high vs RRGB's 46.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.10x | 0.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.89 | $341.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.46 | $282.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +46.8% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.8 | 31.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 398K | 2.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates RRGB as "Hold" and MCD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 89.7% upside for RRGB (target: $7) vs 24.0% for MCD (target: $352). MCD is the only dividend payer here at 2.37% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.00 | $352.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 38 | 62 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $6.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.4% |
MCD leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). RRGB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
RRGB vs MCD: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RRGB or MCD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger pick with 1.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). McDonald's Corporation (MCD) offers the better valuation at 24. 9x trailing P/E (21. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate McDonald's Corporation (MCD) a "Buy" — based on 62 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — RRGB or MCD?
Over the past 5 years, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) delivered a total return of +34.
4%, compared to -89. 5% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MCD returned +158. 5% versus RRGB's -94. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — RRGB or MCD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 's 2. 10β — meaning RRGB is approximately 1782% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — RRGB or MCD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is pulling ahead at 1.
7% versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. grew EPS 73. 4% year-over-year, compared to -1. 5% for McDonald's Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, MCD leads at 3. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — RRGB or MCD?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
7% net margin versus -1. 9% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 45. 2% versus 0. 2% for RRGB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RRGB leads at 68. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is RRGB or MCD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RRGB: 89.
7% to $7. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — RRGB or MCD?
In this comparison, MCD (2.
4% yield) pays a dividend. RRGB does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is RRGB or MCD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 4% yield, +158. 5% 10Y return). Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) carries a higher beta of 2. 10 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +158. 5%, RRGB: -94. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between RRGB and MCD?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
MCD pays a dividend while RRGB does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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