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SFD vs MDLZ vs KHC vs CAG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Food Confectioners
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
SFD vs MDLZ vs KHC vs CAG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Agricultural Farm Products | Food Confectioners | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $10.25B | $78.70B | $28.05B | $6.86B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $15.56B | $39.30B | $24.99B | $11.18B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.01B | $2.61B | $-5.76B | $13M |
| Gross Margin | 13.4% | 28.8% | 33.9% | 24.6% |
| Operating Margin | 8.6% | 9.4% | -18.9% | 13.1% |
| Forward P/E | 9.8x | 20.1x | 11.6x | 8.4x |
| Total Debt | $2.40B | $22.40B | $21.22B | $8.31B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.54B | $2.13B | $2.62B | $68M |
SFD vs MDLZ vs KHC vs CAG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 25 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smithfield Foods, I… (SFD) | 100 | 121.3 | +21.3% |
| Mondelez Internatio… (MDLZ) | 100 | 105.7 | +5.7% |
| The Kraft Heinz Com… (KHC) | 100 | 79.3 | -20.7% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 55.4 | -44.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SFD vs MDLZ vs KHC vs CAG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SFD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 7.3%, EPS growth 18.0%
- 7.3% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
- +20.7% vs CAG's -31.5%
- 8.6% ROA vs KHC's -7.0%, ROIC 12.2% vs -5.5%
MDLZ is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- 68.4% 10Y total return vs SFD's 33.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.06, Low D/E 86.5%, current ratio 0.59x
- 6.6% margin vs KHC's -23.0%
- Beta 0.06 vs SFD's 0.30
KHC lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
CAG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 9.8%
- Beta 0.06, yield 9.8%, current ratio 0.71x
- Lower P/E (8.4x vs 11.6x)
- 9.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs MDLZ's 3.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.3% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.4x vs 11.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.6% margin vs KHC's -23.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.06 vs SFD's 0.30 | |
| Dividends | 9.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs MDLZ's 3.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.7% vs CAG's -31.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.6% ROA vs KHC's -7.0%, ROIC 12.2% vs -5.5% |
SFD vs MDLZ vs KHC vs CAG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SFD vs MDLZ vs KHC vs CAG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SFD leads in 2 of 6 categories
MDLZ leads 1 • CAG leads 1 • KHC leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDLZ leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDLZ is the larger business by revenue, generating $39.3B annually — 3.5x CAG's $11.2B. MDLZ is the more profitable business, keeping 6.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KHC's -23.0%. On growth, MDLZ holds the edge at +8.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $15.6B | $39.3B | $25.0B | $11.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.6B | $4.9B | -$4.0B | $1.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.0B | $2.6B | -$5.8B | $13M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $813M | $2.6B | $3.9B | $634M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +13.4% | +28.8% | +33.9% | +24.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.6% | +9.4% | -18.9% | +13.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.5% | +6.6% | -23.0% | +0.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.2% | +6.6% | +15.8% | +5.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.8% | +8.2% | +0.8% | -6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.9% | +38.7% | +11.7% | -3.4% |
Valuation Metrics
CAG leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.0x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 82% valuation discount to MDLZ's 32.4x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SFD's 6.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MDLZ's 19.9x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $10.3B | $78.7B | $28.1B | $6.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.1B | $99.0B | $46.7B | $15.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.39x | 32.44x | -4.80x | 5.95x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.80x | 20.06x | 11.63x | 8.44x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | 0.85x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.84x | 19.88x | — | 8.61x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.66x | 2.04x | 1.12x | 0.59x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | 3.07x | 0.67x | 0.77x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 14.28x | 24.33x | 7.66x | 5.27x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SFD leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SFD delivers a 14.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $-14 for KHC. SFD carries lower financial leverage with a 0.34x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAG's 0.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAG scores 6/9 vs KHC's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +14.7% | +10.0% | -13.8% | +0.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.6% | +3.7% | -7.0% | +0.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.2% | +6.0% | -5.5% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.4% | +7.3% | -6.1% | +8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.34x | 0.87x | 0.51x | 0.93x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $857M | $20.3B | $18.6B | $8.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.5B | $2.1B | $2.6B | $68M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.4B | $22.4B | $21.2B | $8.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 34.71x | 10.01x | -6.02x | 1.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SFD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SFD five years ago would be worth $13,369 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,565 for CAG. Over the past 12 months, SFD leads with a +20.7% total return vs CAG's -31.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SFD at 10.2% vs CAG's -21.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +19.2% | +15.2% | -1.4% | -13.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +20.7% | -5.8% | -10.5% | -31.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.7% | -14.5% | -30.7% | -50.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.7% | +12.6% | -27.2% | -44.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.7% | +68.4% | -50.2% | -27.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.2% | -5.1% | -11.5% | -21.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SFD and MDLZ each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MDLZ is the less volatile stock with a 0.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SFD's 0.30 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SFD currently trades 87.5% from its 52-week high vs CAG's 61.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.30x | 0.06x | 0.15x | 0.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $29.80 | $71.15 | $29.19 | $23.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $21.08 | $51.20 | $21.04 | $13.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.5% | +86.2% | +81.0% | +61.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.0 | 68.7 | 58.7 | 36.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 9.0M | 15.2M | 14.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MDLZ and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: SFD as "Buy", MDLZ as "Buy", KHC as "Hold", CAG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 22.7% upside for SFD (target: $32) vs -1.2% for KHC (target: $23). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.75% vs MDLZ's 3.13%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.00 | $67.00 | $23.38 | $17.55 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 41 | 35 | 25 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.9% | +3.1% | +6.8% | +9.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 12 | 1 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.01 | $1.92 | $1.60 | $1.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +3.0% | +1.6% | +0.9% |
SFD leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). MDLZ leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
SFD vs MDLZ vs KHC vs CAG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Mondelez International, Inc.
(MDLZ) is the stronger pick with 5. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 5% for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC). Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the better valuation at 6. 0x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 6. 0x versus Mondelez International, Inc. at 32. 4x. On forward P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG?
Over the past 5 years, Smithfield Foods, Inc.
(SFD) delivered a total return of +33. 7%, compared to -44. 3% for Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MDLZ returned +68. 4% versus KHC's -50. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Mondelez International, Inc.
(MDLZ) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 06β versus Smithfield Foods, Inc. 's 0. 30β — meaning SFD is approximately 414% more volatile than MDLZ relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 34% versus 93% for Conagra Brands, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Mondelez International, Inc.
(MDLZ) is pulling ahead at 5. 8% versus -3. 5% for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Conagra Brands, Inc. grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to -318. 1% for The Kraft Heinz Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, MDLZ leads at 7. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus -23. 4% for The Kraft Heinz Company — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAG leads at 11. 8% versus -18. 7% for KHC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KHC leads at 33. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) trades at 8. 4x forward P/E versus 20. 1x for Mondelez International, Inc. — 11. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SFD: 22. 7% to $32. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 8%, versus 3. 1% for Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ).
09Is SFD or MDLZ or KHC or CAG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Mondelez International, Inc.
(MDLZ) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 06), 3. 1% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MDLZ: +68. 4%, SFD: +33. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SFD and MDLZ and KHC and CAG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SFD is a mid-cap deep-value stock; MDLZ is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; KHC is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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