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SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.
$19.30$7.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
SFD logo

Smithfield Foods, Inc.

SFD
NASDAQ · Meat & Protein Producers
$19.30
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$7.59B
P/E8.5x
52W High$29.81
Volume1.51M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Feed Cost Compression Erodes Pork Processor Margins

Smithfield Foods' fundamental outlook appears to have shifted from a branded pricing tailwind to genuine contraction, with revenue declining 8.3% in 2026Q3 and gross margin compressing 510 basis points to 9.1% from 14.2% a year earlier, per quarterly filings.

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SFD price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-59% Peers

P/E is 59% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 34 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 66% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue fell 8.3% to $3.4B in 2026Q3 with gross margin compressing to 9.1% from 14.2% a year earlier, while SG&A held near $193M and drove a 58.6% operating income decline to $127M, per SFD's income statement.

Analyst Consensus+24.4% target
Buy(5 analysts)
4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Attractive valuation upside

Valued at 13-14x 2026 EPS of $2.50, SFD offers 40% upside to $32-$35, with recent share weakness providing an attractive entry point.

Streamlined operations focus

The company aims to streamline operations to improve efficiency and profitability.

Branded products growth

Smithfield Foods is focusing on growing its branded products portfolio to enhance margins and market positioning.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SFD-8.63%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
SFD-6.41%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
SFD+3.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+66.76%
5-Year Return
SFD+3.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.78%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
8.5x
Forward P/E
10.8x
EV/EBITDA
5.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
12.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
8.5x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
5.7x
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
8.2x
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$6.88-64.4%
Base (Fair)$20.36+5.5%
Bull$38.04+97.1%
$6.88 Bear$20.36 Base$38.04 Bull
Current Market Price: $19.30
Trades at a 5.2% discount to Base DCF ($20.36)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
-
Net income FY25
-
Free cash flow FY25
$718M-8.8% YoY
Operating margin FY25
-
ROIC (FY25)8.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y7.4%
ROE (TTM)12.5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$0.26+0.7%
vs $0.26
$3.4B-5.9%
vs $3.7B
Q3 2026
Aug 11, 2026
$0.62+3.5%
vs $0.60
$3.7B+1.4%
vs $3.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$0.64+10.3%
vs $0.58
$3.8B+2.6%
vs $3.7B
Q2 2026
Mar 24, 2026
$0.83+22.8%
vs $0.68
$4.2B+1.9%
vs $4.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
GlobeNewsWire·Oct 29, 2026
Smithfield Foods Declares Quarterly Dividend

SMITHFIELD, Va., Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Smithfield Foods, Inc. (Nasdaq: SFD), an American food company and an industry leader in value-added packaged meats and fresh pork, today announced its Board of Directors approved a quarterly dividend payment of $0.3125 per share of common stock to be paid on November 25, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 12, 2026.

Defense World·Oct 28, 2026
NXT Energy Solutions (TSE:SFD) Stock Price Crosses Above 200-Day Moving Average – Should You Sell?

NXT Energy Solutions Inc. (TSE: SFD - Get Free Report) shares passed above its two hundred day moving average during trading on Tuesday. The stock has a two hundred day moving average of C$0.37 and traded as high as C$0.39. NXT Energy Solutions shares last traded at C$0.39, with a volume of 42,500 shares. NXT Energy

Seeking Alpha·Oct 27, 2026
Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Smithfield Foods, Inc. ( SFD ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 27, 2026 9:00 AM EDT Company Participants Julie MacMedan - Vice President of Investor Relations Shane Smith - President, CEO & Director Mark Hall - Chief Financial Officer Steven France - President of Packaged Meats Donovan Owens - President of North America Pork Conference Call Participants Max Andrew Gumport - BNP Paribas, Research Division Leah Jordan - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Benjamin Theurer - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Heather Jones - Heather Jones Research LLC Pooran Sharma - Stephens Inc., Research Division Peter Galbo - BofA Securities, Research Division Presentation Operator Good day, and welcome to Smithfield Foods Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.

MarketBeat·Oct 27, 2026
Smithfield Foods Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Smithfield Foods NASDAQ: SFD reported third-quarter adjusted operating profit of $145 million, down from $310 million a year earlier, as weak domestic demand, global pork oversupply and constrained export opportunities pressured its Fresh Pork and Hog Production businesses. The company said its Packaged Meats segment remained resilient, delivering higher volume, profit and margins despite a cautious consumer environment.

Filtered for Smithfield Foods, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SFD against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SFD logoSFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.Current
$19.30$7.59B8.48-100%5.95%12.47%5.22%
TSN logoTSNTyson Foods, Inc.
$59.68$21.16B29.632.12%1.03%3.15%4.1%
HRL logoHRLHormel Foods Corporation
$21.95$12.08B35.301.55%2.82%4.32%5.24%
WH logoWHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
$77.35$5.74B28.451.49%13.97%43.21%2.17%
PPC logoPPCPilgrim's Pride Corporation
$28.53$6.79B21.283.46%1.75%8.5%29.32%
CAG logoCAGConagra Brands, Inc.
$15.24$7.29B-3.84-2.85%-16.95%-26.28%9.17%

Compare SFD vs Peers

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs TSN

Most directly comparable listed peer for SFD.

Scale Benchmark

vs MDLZ

Larger-name benchmark to compare SFD against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs TSN, HRL, WH, PPC

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SFD SEC Filings & Documents

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 16, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Mar 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 28, 2026·SEC

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SFD Frequently Asked Questions

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Smithfield Foods, Inc.'s revenue?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) reported $15.11B in revenue over the trailing twelve months.

How fast is Smithfield Foods, Inc. growing?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) revenue fell by 0.9% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is SFD profitable?

Yes. Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) earned $899.0M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 5.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does SFD pay dividends?

Yes. Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) pays a dividend that yields 5.22% at the current price, a high yield.

What is SFD's return on equity?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) had a return on equity (ROE) of 12.5% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Smithfield Foods, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) generated $927.0M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in SFD back in 1989?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 37+ years of data

See returns →