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SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.
$19.56$7.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
SFD logo

Smithfield Foods, Inc.

SFD
NASDAQ · Farm Products
$19.56
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$7.7B
P/E7.8x
52W High$29.81
Volume1.5M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Volatility and Working Capital Swings Define Outlook

Smithfield Foods presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a strong balance sheet featuring a 0.33 debt-to-equity ratio and $1.4B in cash providing a solid foundation. However, the investment thesis is tempered by significant operational volatility, as eviden...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SFD price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

5/12 Beats

EPS beat 5 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-66% Peers

P/E is 66% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 22 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 78% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 11
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated to -3.1% in 2026Q2, while gross margin volatility remains high, ranging from 7.1% to 14.2% over the last ten quarters, underscoring the company's sensitivity to input costs.

Analyst Consensus+55.9% target
Buy(4 analysts)
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Attractive valuation upside

Valued at 13-14x 2026 EPS of $2.50, SFD offers 40% upside to $32-$35, with recent share weakness providing an attractive entry point.

Streamlined operations focus

The company aims to streamline operations to improve efficiency and profitability.

Branded products growth

Smithfield Foods is focusing on growing its branded products portfolio to enhance margins and market positioning.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SFD-7.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
SFD-13.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
SFD+4.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.60%
5-Year Return
SFD+4.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.43%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
7.8x
Forward P/E
8.8x
EV/EBITDA
5.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
9.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
7.8x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
5.3x
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
10.7x
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$8.85-54.8%
Base (Fair)$26.46+33.5%
Bull$46.39+137.2%
$8.85 Bear$26.46 Base$46.39 Bull
Current Market Price: $19.56
Trades at a 26.1% discount to Base DCF ($26.46)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
-
Net income
-
Free cash flow
$718M-8.8% YoY
Operating margin
-
ROIC (TTM)12.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)14%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate5/12 (63%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 11, 2026
$0.62+3.5%
vs $0.60
$3.7B+1.4%
vs $3.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$0.64+10.3%
vs $0.58
$3.8B+2.6%
vs $3.7B
Q2 2026
Mar 24, 2026
$0.83+22.8%
vs $0.68
$4.2B+1.9%
vs $4.1B
Q4 2025
Oct 28, 2025
$0.58+13.7%
vs $0.51
$3.7B+2.7%
vs $3.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
GlobeNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
Smithfield Foods Celebrates 90-Year American Heritage

SMITHFIELD, Va., Sept. 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Smithfield Foods, Inc. (Nasdaq: SFD), an American food company and an industry leader in value-added packaged meats and fresh pork, today celebrated its 90th year in business on the site where the company began in 1936.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 12, 2026
Graham Value All-Stars (GVAS) Emit 10 Brilliant September Buys

The September GVAS portfolio highlights 10 ideal, fair-priced large-cap value stocks with strong dividend yields and positive free cash flow margins. Top GVAS dogs are projected to deliver average net gains of 36.8% by September 2027, with risk/volatility 46% below the market. Analyst targets suggest the five lowest-priced, highest-yield GVAS stocks could outperform the broader top ten by 5.12% over the next year.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 10, 2026
Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 9, 2026
Smithfield® Expands Commonwealth Clash Presenting Sponsorship with New Fan and Community Initiatives

SMITHFIELD, Va., Sept. 09, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Smithfield today announced it will continue as the presenting sponsor of the Commonwealth Clash, the annual rivalry between the University of Virginia and Virginia Tech, for the 2026–27 season.

Filtered for Smithfield Foods, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SFD against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SFD logoSFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.Current
$19.56$7.7B7.79—6.35%13.97%5.16%
TSN logoTSNTyson Foods, Inc.
$51.82$18.37B38.102.12%1.03%3.15%—
HRL logoHRLHormel Foods Corporation
$20.34$11.19B23.381.55%2.82%4.33%—
WH logoWHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
$67.86$5.04B27.471.49%14.67%42.06%—
PPC logoPPCPilgrim's Pride Corporation
$28.98$6.89B6.383.46%2.96%14.8%—
CAG logoCAGConagra Brands, Inc.
$14.79$7.08B-3.70-2.85%-0.39%-0.51%—

Compare SFD vs Peers

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs TSN

Most directly comparable listed peer for SFD.

Scale Benchmark

vs MDLZ

Larger-name benchmark to compare SFD against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs TSN, HRL, WH, PPC

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SFD SEC Filings & Documents

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Mar 24, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Mar 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 28, 2025·SEC

Get notified when SFD posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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SFD Frequently Asked Questions

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Smithfield Foods, Inc.'s revenue?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) reported $15.44B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1709% increase from $853.4M in 1989.

Is SFD profitable?

Yes, Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) is profitable, generating $1.06B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (6.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does SFD pay dividends?

Yes, Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) pays a dividend with a yield of 5.16%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is SFD's return on equity?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) has a return on equity (ROE) of 14.0%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Smithfield Foods, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) generated $802.0M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in SFD back in 1989?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 37+ years of data

See returns →