Packaged Foods
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SJM vs CAG vs CPB vs MKC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
SJM vs CAG vs CPB vs MKC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $10.58B | $6.86B | $6.34B | $12.14B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.93B | $11.18B | $10.04B | $6.84B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-1.26B | $13M | $550M | $789M |
| Gross Margin | 33.6% | 24.6% | 29.3% | 37.9% |
| Operating Margin | -8.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 15.7% |
| Forward P/E | 11.0x | 8.4x | 9.7x | 15.5x |
| Total Debt | $7.76B | $8.31B | $7.21B | $4.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $70M | $68M | $132M | $96M |
SJM vs CAG vs CPB vs MKC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The J. M. Smucker C… (SJM) | 100 | 87.3 | -12.7% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 41.2 | -58.8% |
| Campbell Soup Compa… (CPB) | 100 | 41.7 | -58.3% |
| McCormick & Company… (MKC) | 100 | 54.7 | -45.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SJM vs CAG vs CPB vs MKC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SJM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.04, yield 4.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.04, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.04, yield 4.3%, current ratio 0.81x
- 6.7% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
CAG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if valuation efficiency is your priority.
- PEG 1.21 vs MKC's 14.63
- Lower P/E (8.4x vs 15.5x), PEG 1.21 vs 14.63
- 9.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs MKC's 3.7%
CPB is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 6.4%, EPS growth 6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
MKC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 26.9% 10Y total return vs SJM's 5.6%
- 11.5% margin vs SJM's -14.1%
- 6.0% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 8.5% vs -3.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.7% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.4x vs 15.5x), PEG 1.21 vs 14.63 | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.5% margin vs SJM's -14.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.04 vs CAG's 0.06 | |
| Dividends | 9.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs MKC's 3.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.5% vs CPB's -35.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.0% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 8.5% vs -3.4% |
SJM vs CAG vs CPB vs MKC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SJM vs CAG vs CPB vs MKC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
MKC leads in 2 of 6 categories
CAG leads 1 • SJM leads 1 • CPB leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MKC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAG is the larger business by revenue, generating $11.2B annually — 1.6x MKC's $6.8B. MKC is the more profitable business, keeping 11.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SJM's -14.1%. On growth, SJM holds the edge at +7.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.9B | $11.2B | $10.0B | $6.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$595M | $1.9B | $1.6B | $1.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$1.3B | $13M | $550M | $789M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $971M | $634M | $919M | $879M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +33.6% | +24.6% | +29.3% | +37.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -8.0% | +13.1% | +12.1% | +15.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -14.1% | +0.1% | +5.5% | +11.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +10.9% | +5.7% | +9.2% | +12.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.0% | -6.8% | -4.5% | +2.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -9.3% | -3.4% | -17.2% | +5.0% |
Valuation Metrics
CAG leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.0x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 64% valuation discount to MKC's 16.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAG offers better value at 0.85x vs MKC's 15.47x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $10.6B | $6.9B | $6.3B | $12.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $18.3B | $15.1B | $13.4B | $16.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -8.59x | 5.95x | 10.57x | 16.35x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.01x | 8.44x | 9.74x | 15.46x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.85x | — | 15.47x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 8.61x | 7.51x | 12.12x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.21x | 0.59x | 0.62x | 1.78x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.74x | 0.77x | 1.63x | 2.24x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 12.96x | 5.27x | 8.99x | 16.40x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MKC leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CPB delivers a 14.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-24 for SJM. MKC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CPB's 1.85x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CPB scores 7/9 vs SJM's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -24.0% | +0.2% | +14.0% | +13.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.7% | +0.1% | +3.7% | +6.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.4% | +6.0% | +9.1% | +8.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -4.3% | +8.2% | +11.4% | +10.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.28x | 0.93x | 1.85x | 0.69x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.7B | $8.2B | $7.1B | $3.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $70M | $68M | $132M | $96M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.8B | $8.3B | $7.2B | $4.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.88x | 1.56x | 3.14x | 5.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SJM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SJM five years ago would be worth $8,802 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,565 for CAG. Over the past 12 months, SJM leads with a -7.5% total return vs CPB's -35.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SJM at -10.6% vs CPB's -22.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.0% | -13.0% | -20.5% | -28.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.5% | -31.5% | -35.4% | -33.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -28.5% | -50.8% | -52.6% | -39.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -12.0% | -44.3% | -41.9% | -37.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +5.6% | -27.9% | -44.9% | +26.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.6% | -21.1% | -22.0% | -15.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SJM and MKC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MKC is the less volatile stock with a -0.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAG's 0.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SJM currently trades 83.3% from its 52-week high vs CPB's 58.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.04x | 0.06x | -0.02x | -0.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $119.39 | $23.47 | $36.16 | $78.16 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $88.25 | $13.61 | $19.76 | $47.31 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.3% | +61.1% | +58.8% | +61.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.1 | 36.1 | 46.7 | 33.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 14.1M | 9.1M | 4.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CAG and MKC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: SJM as "Hold", CAG as "Hold", CPB as "Hold", MKC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 52.8% upside for MKC (target: $73) vs 14.0% for SJM (target: $113). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.75% vs MKC's 3.74%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $113.38 | $17.55 | $25.83 | $73.20 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 29 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.3% | +9.8% | +7.2% | +3.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 15 | 6 | 1 | 27 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $4.28 | $1.40 | $1.53 | $1.79 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +0.3% |
MKC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CAG leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
SJM vs CAG vs CPB vs MKC: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger pick with 6. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 7% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the better valuation at 6. 0x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) a "Hold" — based on 29 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 6. 0x versus McCormick & Company, Incorporated at 16. 3x. On forward P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Conagra Brands, Inc. wins at 1. 21x versus McCormick & Company, Incorporated's 14. 63x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC?
Over the past 5 years, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) delivered a total return of -12. 0%, compared to -44. 3% for Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MKC returned +26. 9% versus CPB's -44. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
03β versus Conagra Brands, Inc. 's 0. 06β — meaning CAG is approximately -321% more volatile than MKC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 185% for Campbell Soup Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is pulling ahead at 6. 7% versus 1. 7% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Campbell Soup Company grew EPS 6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -262. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, CPB leads at 6. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC?
McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
5% net margin versus -14. 1% for The J. M. Smucker Company — meaning it keeps 11. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MKC leads at 16. 0% versus -7. 7% for SJM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SJM leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 21x versus McCormick & Company, Incorporated's 14. 63x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) trades at 8. 4x forward P/E versus 15. 5x for McCormick & Company, Incorporated — 7. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MKC: 52. 8% to $73. 20.
08Which pays a better dividend — SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 8%, versus 3. 7% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC).
09Is SJM or CAG or CPB or MKC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
03), 3. 7% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MKC: +26. 9%, CAG: -27. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SJM and CAG and CPB and MKC?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SJM is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock; CPB is a small-cap deep-value stock; MKC is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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