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TNL vs VAC vs HGV vs MAR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
Travel Lodging
TNL vs VAC vs HGV vs MAR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Travel Services | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | Travel Lodging |
| Market Cap | $4.11B | $2.65B | $3.95B | $93.23B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.05B | $4.64B | $5.18B | $26.58B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $237M | $-342M | $199M | $2.58B |
| Gross Margin | 43.2% | 50.3% | 56.8% | 21.4% |
| Operating Margin | 15.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 16.0% |
| Forward P/E | 8.9x | 10.3x | 11.4x | 30.4x |
| Total Debt | $4.91B | $5.75B | $7.35B | $17.08B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $253M | $733M | $571M | $358M |
TNL vs VAC vs HGV vs MAR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) | 100 | 207.3 | +107.3% |
| Marriott Vacations … (VAC) | 100 | 85.9 | -14.1% |
| Hilton Grand Vacati… (HGV) | 100 | 225.7 | +125.7% |
| Marriott Internatio… (MAR) | 100 | 397.6 | +297.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TNL vs VAC vs HGV vs MAR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TNL is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 1.31, yield 3.4%
- Lower P/E (8.9x vs 30.4x)
- +45.6% vs HGV's +27.8%
VAC is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.83, current ratio 17.74x
- Beta 1.83, yield 4.1%, current ratio 17.74x
- 4.1% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs MAR's 0.8%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
HGV lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
MAR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth 13.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.0%
- 430.3% 10Y total return vs TNL's 158.7%
- 4.3% revenue growth vs VAC's 1.3%
- 9.7% margin vs VAC's -7.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs VAC's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.9x vs 30.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.7% margin vs VAC's -7.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.09 vs VAC's 1.83 | |
| Dividends | 4.1% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs MAR's 0.8%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +45.6% vs HGV's +27.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.3% ROA vs VAC's -3.5%, ROIC 25.0% vs 5.7% |
TNL vs VAC vs HGV vs MAR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TNL vs VAC vs HGV vs MAR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
MAR leads in 2 of 6 categories
HGV leads 1 • VAC leads 1 • TNL leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HGV leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MAR is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.6B annually — 6.6x TNL's $4.0B. MAR is the more profitable business, keeping 9.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to VAC's -7.4%. On growth, HGV holds the edge at +11.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.0B | $4.6B | $5.2B | $26.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $744M | $591M | $905M | $4.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $237M | -$342M | $199M | $2.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $737M | -$23M | $328M | $3.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +43.2% | +50.3% | +56.8% | +21.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +15.3% | +10.8% | +12.1% | +16.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.9% | -7.4% | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.2% | -0.5% | +6.3% | +11.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.9% | +4.8% | +11.9% | +6.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.0% | -56.6% | +5.4% | +0.8% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — TNL and VAC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 19.2x trailing earnings, TNL trades at a 65% valuation discount to HGV's 54.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, TNL's 10.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MAR's 24.8x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.1B | $2.6B | $4.0B | $93.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.8B | $7.7B | $10.7B | $110.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 19.16x | -8.74x | 54.63x | 37.08x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.91x | 10.34x | 11.35x | 30.38x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.43x | 10.91x | 12.87x | 24.77x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.02x | 0.53x | 0.78x | 3.56x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 1.35x | 3.09x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 7.87x | — | 17.18x | 35.75x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MAR leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HGV delivers a 13.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $-15 for VAC. VAC carries lower financial leverage with a 2.89x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HGV's 5.10x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HGV scores 7/9 vs VAC's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | -15.3% | +13.3% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.5% | -3.5% | +1.7% | +9.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +13.0% | +5.7% | +5.0% | +25.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.6% | +6.1% | +5.5% | +22.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 2.89x | 5.10x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.7B | $5.0B | $6.8B | $16.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $253M | $733M | $571M | $358M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.9B | $5.8B | $7.3B | $17.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.56x | -1.31x | 1.34x | 5.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MAR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MAR five years ago would be worth $24,578 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,118 for VAC. Over the past 12 months, TNL leads with a +45.6% total return vs HGV's +27.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MAR at 26.4% vs VAC's -12.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.7% | +32.5% | +6.9% | +12.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +45.6% | +38.0% | +27.8% | +38.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +101.2% | -32.9% | +14.7% | +101.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.4% | -48.8% | +9.8% | +145.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +158.7% | +61.5% | +88.1% | +430.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +26.2% | -12.4% | +4.7% | +26.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HGV and MAR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MAR is the less volatile stock with a 1.09 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than VAC's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HGV currently trades 93.4% from its 52-week high vs TNL's 81.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.31x | 1.83x | 1.71x | 1.09x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $81.00 | $86.33 | $52.08 | $380.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $46.58 | $44.58 | $36.79 | $250.79 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.4% | +89.4% | +93.4% | +92.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 41.4 | 63.1 | 59.9 | 53.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 760K | 560K | 764K | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
VAC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: TNL as "Buy", VAC as "Buy", HGV as "Hold", MAR as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 28.8% upside for TNL (target: $85) vs 3.7% for HGV (target: $50). For income investors, VAC offers the higher dividend yield at 4.09% vs MAR's 0.76%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $84.89 | $82.20 | $50.40 | $372.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 18 | 16 | 52 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.4% | +4.1% | — | +0.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.23 | $3.15 | — | $2.67 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +7.3% | +2.3% | +15.2% | +3.5% |
MAR leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). HGV leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
TNL vs VAC vs HGV vs MAR: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Marriott International, Inc.
(MAR) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) offers the better valuation at 19. 2x trailing P/E (8. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR?
On trailing P/E, Travel + Leisure Co.
(TNL) is the cheapest at 19. 2x versus Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. at 54. 6x. On forward P/E, Travel + Leisure Co. is actually cheaper at 8. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR?
Over the past 5 years, Marriott International, Inc.
(MAR) delivered a total return of +145. 8%, compared to -48. 8% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MAR returned +430. 3% versus VAC's +61. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Marriott International, Inc.
(MAR) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 09β versus Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's 1. 83β — meaning VAC is approximately 68% more volatile than MAR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 5% for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Marriott International, Inc.
(MAR) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus 1. 3% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. grew EPS 93. 5% year-over-year, compared to -257. 4% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, HGV leads at 9. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR?
Marriott International, Inc.
(MAR) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus -6. 1% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TNL leads at 17. 8% versus 11. 0% for VAC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HGV leads at 56. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Travel + Leisure Co.
(TNL) trades at 8. 9x forward P/E versus 30. 4x for Marriott International, Inc. — 21. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TNL: 28. 8% to $84. 89.
08Which pays a better dividend — TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR?
In this comparison, VAC (4.
1% yield), TNL (3. 4% yield), MAR (0. 8% yield) pay a dividend. HGV does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is TNL or VAC or HGV or MAR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Marriott International, Inc.
(MAR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 09), 0. 8% yield, +430. 3% 10Y return). Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) carries a higher beta of 1. 71 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MAR: +430. 3%, HGV: +88. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TNL and VAC and HGV and MAR?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TNL is a small-cap income-oriented stock; VAC is a small-cap income-oriented stock; HGV is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MAR is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. TNL, VAC, MAR pay a dividend while HGV does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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