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TX vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
TX vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Steel | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $8.67B | $420.89B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $15.58B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $424M | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 14.7% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 4.5% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 10.8x | 39.2x |
| Total Debt | $2.61B | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.53B | $9.98B |
TX vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ternium S.A. (TX) | 100 | 277.9 | +177.9% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 753.0 | +653.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TX vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TX is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.80, yield 6.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.80, Low D/E 16.1%, current ratio 2.49x
- Beta 0.80, yield 6.1%, current ratio 2.49x
CAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth -14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.4%
- 12.0% 10Y total return vs TX's 239.9%
- 4.3% revenue growth vs TX's -11.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs TX's -11.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.8x vs 39.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs TX's 2.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.80 vs CAT's 1.54, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 6.1% yield, vs CAT's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +181.8% vs TX's +57.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs TX's 1.8%, ROIC 15.9% vs 3.2% |
TX vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TX vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 4.5x TX's $15.6B. CAT is the more profitable business, keeping 13.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TX's 2.7%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $15.6B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.5B | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $424M | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$187M | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +14.7% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.7% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.2% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.4% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -56.6% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
TX leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.1x trailing earnings, TX trades at a 58% valuation discount to CAT's 48.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, TX's 7.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAT's 33.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $8.7B | $420.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.7B | $454.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.07x | 48.04x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.78x | 39.18x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.71x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.95x | 33.72x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.56x | 6.23x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.54x | 19.90x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 40.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $3 for TX. TX carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.6% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.8% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.2% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.6% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.16x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.1B | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.5B | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.6B | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.39x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $39,125 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $15,577 for TX. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +181.8% total return vs TX's +57.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 62.4% vs TX's 9.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.9% | +51.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +57.9% | +181.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +30.0% | +328.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +55.8% | +291.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +239.9% | +1203.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +9.1% | +62.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TX and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TX is the less volatile stock with a 0.80 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.80x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $45.57 | $908.90 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $27.12 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.9% | +99.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 189K | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — TX and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TX as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -6.4% upside for TX (target: $41) vs -8.8% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, TX offers the higher dividend yield at 6.11% vs CAT's 0.65%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $41.33 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 16 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +6.1% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.70 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.2% |
CAT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). TX leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
TX vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TX or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -11. 6% for Ternium S. A. (TX). Ternium S. A. (TX) offers the better valuation at 20. 1x trailing P/E (10. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ternium S. A. (TX) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TX or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Ternium S.
A. (TX) is the cheapest at 20. 1x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 48. 0x. On forward P/E, Ternium S. A. is actually cheaper at 10. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TX or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +291. 3%, compared to +55. 8% for Ternium S. A. (TX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1203% versus TX's +239. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TX or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ternium S.
A. (TX) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 80β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 92% more volatile than TX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ternium S. A. (TX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TX or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus -11. 6% for Ternium S. A. (TX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ternium S. A. grew EPS 914. 8% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAT leads at 4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TX or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus 2. 7% for Ternium S. A. — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus 4. 5% for TX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAT leads at 32. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TX or CAT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ternium S.
A. (TX) trades at 10. 8x forward P/E versus 39. 2x for Caterpillar Inc. — 28. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TX: -6. 4% to $41. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — TX or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Ternium S. A. (TX) offers the highest yield at 6. 1%, versus 0. 6% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
09Is TX or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ternium S.
A. (TX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 80), 6. 1% yield, +239. 9% 10Y return). Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) carries a higher beta of 1. 54 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TX: +239. 9%, CAT: +1203%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TX and CAT?
These companies operate in different sectors (TX (Basic Materials) and CAT (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: TX is a small-cap income-oriented stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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