Insurance - Property & Casualty
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UFCS vs ERIE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Brokers
UFCS vs ERIE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Brokers |
| Market Cap | $1.10B | $9.86B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.43B | $4.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $131M | $571M |
| Gross Margin | 22.8% | 18.1% |
| Operating Margin | 11.5% | 17.0% |
| Forward P/E | 11.3x | 16.9x |
| Total Debt | $146M | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $156M | $346M |
UFCS vs ERIE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Fire Group, … (UFCS) | 100 | 160.3 | +60.3% |
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 118.5 | +18.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: UFCS vs ERIE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
UFCS is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 10.7%, EPS growth 87.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.9%
- 10.7% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2%
- Lower P/E (11.3x vs 16.9x)
ERIE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.16, yield 2.3%
- 172.5% 10Y total return vs UFCS's 35.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.16, current ratio 1.27x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.7% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.3x vs 16.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs UFCS's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs UFCS's 0.49 | |
| Dividends | 2.3% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs UFCS's 1.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +52.8% vs ERIE's -39.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs UFCS's 3.4%, ROIC 29.5% vs 13.6% |
UFCS vs ERIE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
UFCS vs ERIE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UFCS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ERIE is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.3B annually — 3.0x UFCS's $1.4B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.2% (ERIE) to 9.2% (UFCS). On growth, UFCS holds the edge at +11.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.4B | $4.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $173M | $786M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $131M | $571M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $286M | $537M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.8% | +18.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.5% | +17.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.2% | +13.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +20.1% | +12.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.6% | +2.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +71.6% | +7.9% |
Valuation Metrics
UFCS leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.6x trailing earnings, UFCS trades at a 52% valuation discount to ERIE's 20.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, UFCS's 6.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than ERIE's 12.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $9.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.1B | $9.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 9.60x | 20.11x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.30x | 16.90x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.48x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.86x | 11.95x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.79x | 2.43x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.21x | 4.93x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 4.18x | 17.28x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE delivers a 25.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $14 for UFCS. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UFCS scores 7/9 vs ERIE's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +14.4% | +25.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.4% | +17.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +13.6% | +29.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.7% | +32.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.16x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$10M | -$346M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $156M | $346M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $146M | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.45x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
UFCS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in UFCS five years ago would be worth $14,333 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,372 for ERIE. Over the past 12 months, UFCS leads with a +52.8% total return vs ERIE's -39.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors UFCS at 17.9% vs ERIE's -0.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +21.4% | -22.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +52.8% | -39.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +64.1% | -1.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +43.3% | +13.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.2% | +172.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.9% | -0.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — UFCS and ERIE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ERIE is the less volatile stock with a 0.16 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UFCS's 0.49 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. UFCS currently trades 95.9% from its 52-week high vs ERIE's 56.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.49x | 0.16x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $44.86 | $380.67 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $25.79 | $210.06 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.9% | +56.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.7 | 37.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 96K | 232K |
Analyst Outlook
ERIE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, ERIE offers the higher dividend yield at 2.26% vs UFCS's 1.44%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $41.00 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.62 | $4.83 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | 0.0% |
UFCS leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ERIE leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
UFCS vs ERIE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is UFCS or ERIE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, United Fire Group, Inc.
(UFCS) is the stronger pick with 10. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) offers the better valuation at 9. 6x trailing P/E (11. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — UFCS or ERIE?
On trailing P/E, United Fire Group, Inc.
(UFCS) is the cheapest at 9. 6x versus Erie Indemnity Company at 20. 1x. On forward P/E, United Fire Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 11. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — UFCS or ERIE?
Over the past 5 years, United Fire Group, Inc.
(UFCS) delivered a total return of +43. 3%, compared to +13. 7% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ERIE returned +172. 5% versus UFCS's +35. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — UFCS or ERIE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
16β versus United Fire Group, Inc. 's 0. 49β — meaning UFCS is approximately 200% more volatile than ERIE relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — UFCS or ERIE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), United Fire Group, Inc.
(UFCS) is pulling ahead at 10. 7% versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: United Fire Group, Inc. grew EPS 87. 4% year-over-year, compared to -7. 5% for Erie Indemnity Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, ERIE leads at 12. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — UFCS or ERIE?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
8% net margin versus 8. 5% for United Fire Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERIE leads at 17. 7% versus 10. 7% for UFCS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UFCS leads at 44. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is UFCS or ERIE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, United Fire Group, Inc.
(UFCS) trades at 11. 3x forward P/E versus 16. 9x for Erie Indemnity Company — 5. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — UFCS or ERIE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) offers the highest yield at 2. 3%, versus 1. 4% for United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS).
09Is UFCS or ERIE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
16), 2. 3% yield, +172. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ERIE: +172. 5%, UFCS: +35. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between UFCS and ERIE?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: UFCS is a small-cap deep-value stock; ERIE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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