Integrated Freight & Logistics
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XPO vs ARCB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Trucking
XPO vs ARCB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Trucking |
| Market Cap | $24.28B | $2.72B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.30B | $4.04B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $348M | $56M |
| Gross Margin | 12.2% | 4.1% |
| Operating Margin | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Forward P/E | 43.9x | 23.6x |
| Total Debt | $4.70B | $669M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $310M | $102M |
XPO vs ARCB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) | 100 | 758.7 | +658.7% |
| ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) | 100 | 543.9 | +443.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: XPO vs ARCB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
XPO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.73
- Rev growth 1.1%, EPS growth -18.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.9%
- 21.5% 10Y total return vs ARCB's 6.3%
ARCB is the clearest fit if your priority is value and dividends.
- Lower P/E (23.6x vs 43.9x)
- 0.4% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
- +107.5% vs XPO's +88.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.1% revenue growth vs ARCB's -4.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (23.6x vs 43.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.2% margin vs ARCB's 1.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.73 vs ARCB's 1.90 | |
| Dividends | 0.4% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +107.5% vs XPO's +88.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.3% ROA vs ARCB's 2.3%, ROIC 9.3% vs 3.9% |
XPO vs ARCB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
XPO vs ARCB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XPO leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XPO is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.3B annually — 2.1x ARCB's $4.0B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.2% (XPO) to 1.4% (ARCB). On growth, XPO holds the edge at +7.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.3B | $4.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.3B | $217M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $348M | $56M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $457M | $169M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.2% | +4.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.1% | +2.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.2% | +1.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.5% | +4.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.3% | +3.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +49.1% | -138.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ARCB leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 46.5x trailing earnings, ARCB trades at a 41% valuation discount to XPO's 78.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ARCB's 12.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than XPO's 22.9x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $24.3B | $2.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $28.7B | $3.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 78.34x | 46.48x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 43.91x | 23.61x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.84x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 22.94x | 12.59x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.98x | 0.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 13.22x | 2.16x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 73.80x | 23.78x |
Profitability & Efficiency
XPO leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
XPO delivers a 19.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $4 for ARCB. ARCB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.52x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to XPO's 2.53x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), XPO scores 5/9 vs ARCB's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +19.0% | +4.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.3% | +2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.3% | +3.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.3% | +5.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.53x | 0.52x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.4B | $567M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $310M | $102M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.7B | $669M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.21x | 6.58x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
XPO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in XPO five years ago would be worth $40,679 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,711 for ARCB. Over the past 12 months, ARCB leads with a +107.5% total return vs XPO's +88.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XPO at 62.2% vs ARCB's 12.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +49.0% | +58.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +88.9% | +107.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +326.9% | +40.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +306.8% | +37.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2145.5% | +627.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +62.2% | +12.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — XPO and ARCB each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XPO is the less volatile stock with a 1.73 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARCB's 1.90 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.73x | 1.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $231.46 | $135.10 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $108.58 | $58.16 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +89.4% | +90.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.2 | 60.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 307K |
Analyst Outlook
ARCB leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates XPO as "Buy" and ARCB as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 1.1% upside for XPO (target: $209) vs -3.8% for ARCB (target: $117). ARCB is the only dividend payer here at 0.39% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $209.07 | $117.14 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 32 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.48 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | +2.8% |
XPO leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ARCB leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
XPO vs ARCB: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is XPO or ARCB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is the stronger pick with 1. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 0% for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB). ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) offers the better valuation at 46. 5x trailing P/E (23. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — XPO or ARCB?
On trailing P/E, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is the cheapest at 46.
5x versus XPO Logistics, Inc. at 78. 3x. On forward P/E, ArcBest Corporation is actually cheaper at 23. 6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — XPO or ARCB?
Over the past 5 years, XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) delivered a total return of +306. 8%, compared to +37. 1% for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: XPO returned +21. 5% versus ARCB's +627. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — XPO or ARCB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 73β versus ArcBest Corporation's 1. 90β — meaning ARCB is approximately 10% more volatile than XPO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 52% versus 3% for XPO Logistics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — XPO or ARCB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is pulling ahead at 1. 1% versus -4. 0% for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: XPO Logistics, Inc. grew EPS -18. 3% year-over-year, compared to -64. 1% for ArcBest Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, XPO leads at 1. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — XPO or ARCB?
XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 9% net margin versus 1. 5% for ArcBest Corporation — meaning it keeps 3. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: XPO leads at 8. 9% versus 2. 3% for ARCB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — XPO leads at 12. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is XPO or ARCB more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) trades at 23.
6x forward P/E versus 43. 9x for XPO Logistics, Inc. — 20. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for XPO: 1. 1% to $209. 07.
08Which pays a better dividend — XPO or ARCB?
In this comparison, ARCB (0.
4% yield) pays a dividend. XPO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is XPO or ARCB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+627.
8% 10Y return). XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) carries a higher beta of 1. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARCB: +627. 8%, XPO: +21. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between XPO and ARCB?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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