Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$200.36
Price Target
$238.00
Target Range
$230.00 — $254.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E7.7x
Trailing P/E8.0x
Forward PEG0.56
Implied Growth+21.3%
Median Target$230.00
Analyst Spread10.1%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$230
+14.8%
Consensus
$238
+18.8%
Bull Case
$254
+26.8%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 52/100
Bear$182
Base$239
Bull$569
ABG Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $238.00, based on estimates from 18 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $200.36, this represents a potential upside of +18.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.87B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $230.00 to a high of $254.00, representing a 10% spread in expectations. The median target of $230.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,12 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, ABG trades at a trailing P/E of 8.0x and forward P/E of 7.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.56 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +21.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $238.69, with bear and bull scenarios of $182.06 and $569.11 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+14.3%
Avg Forward P/E20.5x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ANAutoNation, Inc. | $7.0B | $205.29 | $248.00 | +20.8% | Buy | 9.7x | 34 |
 PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc. | $11.3B | $171.70 | $190.00 | +10.7% | Buy | 13.0x | 26 |
 LADLithia Motors, Inc. | $6.6B | $291.23 | $411.67 | +41.4% | Buy | 8.5x | 26 |
 SAHSonic Automotive, Inc. | $2.7B | $80.20 | $67.33 | -16.0% | Hold | 12.4x | 16 |
 GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc. | $4.2B | $350.16 | $476.67 | +36.1% | Buy | 8.4x | 24 |
 CVNACarvana Co. | $86.8B | $400.22 | $484.00 | +20.9% | Hold | 51.4x | 44 |
 KMXCarMax, Inc. | $5.7B | $39.91 | $37.78 | -5.3% | Hold | 14.8x | 35 |
 VRMVroom, Inc. | $65M | $12.45 | — | — | — | — | — |
 ACVAACV Auctions Inc. | $1.1B | $6.50 | $9.00 | +38.5% | Buy | 33.6x | 17 |
 CARAvis Budget Group, Inc. | $5.4B | $154.06 | $126.40 | -18.0% | Hold | 33.0x | 13 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonABG — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ABG stock.
What is the ABG stock price target for 2026?
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) has a consensus 12-month price target of $238, implying 18.8% upside from $200.36. The 18 analysts covering ABG see moderate appreciation potential.
Is ABG a buy, sell, or hold?
ABG has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 12 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $238 implies 18.8% upside from current levels.
Is ABG stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 7.691x, ABG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $238 implies 18.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can ABG stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $254 for ABG, while the most conservative target is $230. The consensus of $238 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $569 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover ABG stock?
ABG is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the ABG stock forecast?
The 12-month ABG stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $238, with estimates ranging from $230 (bear case) to $254 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $239, with bear/bull scenarios of $182/$569.
What is ABG's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ABG's fair value at $239 (base case), with a bear case of $182 and bull case of $569. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
What is ABG's forward P/E ratio?
ABG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 8.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy ABG stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on ABG, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $238 price target (18.8% upside). 5 of 18 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do ABG price targets vary so much?
ABG analyst price targets range from $230 to $254, a 10% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $238 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $182-$569 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.