Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$169.73
Price Target
$190.00
Target Range
$190.00 — $190.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E12.8x
Trailing P/E12.0x
Forward PEG0.80
Implied Growth-5.9%
Median Target$190.00
Analyst Spread0.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$190
+11.9%
Consensus
$190
+11.9%
Bull Case
$190
+11.9%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 54/100
Bear$123
Base$189
Bull$325
PAG Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $190.00, based on estimates from 26 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $169.73, this represents a potential upside of +11.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $11.16B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $190.00 to a high of $190.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $190.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, PAG trades at a trailing P/E of 12.0x and forward P/E of 12.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.80 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -5.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $188.97, with bear and bull scenarios of $123.35 and $325.14 respectively. Model confidence stands at 54/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+24.1%
Avg Forward P/E16.0x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ANAutoNation, Inc. | $7.0B | $204.77 | $248.00 | +21.1% | Buy | 9.7x | 34 |
 LADLithia Motors, Inc. | $6.6B | $289.40 | $411.67 | +42.2% | Buy | 8.4x | 26 |
 SAHSonic Automotive, Inc. | $2.7B | $79.00 | $67.33 | -14.8% | Hold | 12.2x | 16 |
 ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc. | $3.8B | $197.70 | $238.00 | +20.4% | Hold | 7.6x | 18 |
 GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc. | $4.1B | $343.97 | $476.67 | +38.6% | Buy | 8.3x | 24 |
 CVNACarvana Co. | $84.4B | $389.38 | $484.00 | +24.3% | Hold | 50.0x | 44 |
 KMXCarMax, Inc. | $5.6B | $39.43 | $37.78 | -4.2% | Hold | 14.6x | 35 |
 VRMVroom, Inc. | $62M | $11.95 | — | — | — | — | — |
 ACVAACV Auctions Inc. | $909M | $5.22 | $9.00 | +72.4% | Buy | 27.0x | 17 |
 GMGeneral Motors Company | $71.0B | $78.70 | $91.75 | +16.6% | Buy | 6.2x | 51 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonPAG — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PAG stock.
What is the PAG stock price target for 2026?
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) has a consensus 12-month price target of $190, implying 11.9% upside from $169.73. The 26 analysts covering PAG see moderate appreciation potential.
Is PAG a buy, sell, or hold?
PAG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 26 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $190 implies 11.9% upside from current levels.
Is PAG stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 12.8243x, PAG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $190 implies 11.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can PAG stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $190 for PAG, while the most conservative target is $190. The consensus of $190 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $325 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover PAG stock?
PAG is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 26 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the PAG stock forecast?
The 12-month PAG stock forecast based on 26 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $190, with estimates ranging from $190 (bear case) to $190 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $189, with bear/bull scenarios of $123/$325.
What is PAG's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates PAG's fair value at $189 (base case), with a bear case of $123 and bull case of $325. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 54/100.
What is PAG's forward P/E ratio?
PAG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.0x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy PAG stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on PAG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $190 price target (11.9% upside). 14 of 26 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do PAG price targets vary so much?
PAG analyst price targets range from $190 to $190, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $190 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $123-$325 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.