ALLE trades 2.1% above Wall Street's consensus target of $181.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ALLE achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 20.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 24 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Allegion plc (ALLE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $181.50, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $185.39, this represents a potential downside of -2.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $15.76B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $170.00 to a high of $196.00, representing a 14% spread in expectations. The median target of $180.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,14 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, ALLE trades at a trailing P/E of 24.9x and forward P/E of 20.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.20 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +12.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $234.81, with bear and bull scenarios of $147.93 and $309.38 respectively. Model confidence stands at 57/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ASGNASGN Incorporated | $1.4B | $32.27 | $46.00 | +42.5% | Hold | 8.9x | 13 |
 MASMasco Corporation | $16.2B | $82.22 | $83.11 | +1.1% | Buy | 17.4x | 38 |
 SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $17.3B | $114.85 | $98.25 | -14.5% | Hold | 20.5x | 37 |
 SAIASaia, Inc. | $8.9B | $331.90 | $444.78 | +34.0% | Buy | 28.9x | 33 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $5.7B | $54.74 | $55.00 | +0.5% | Buy | 30.9x | 35 |
 JELDJELD-WEN Holding, Inc. | $88M | $1.02 | $1.87 | +83.3% | Hold | — | 27 |
 GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc. | $10.4B | $176.78 | $301.93 | +70.8% | Buy | 18.0x | 40 |
 ARLOArlo Technologies, Inc. | $1.3B | $12.34 | $18.33 | +48.5% | Buy | 13.0x | 11 |
 SSNCSS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. | $18.2B | $77.71 | $98.20 | +26.4% | Buy | 10.9x | 24 |
 QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated | $173.7B | $165.41 | $205.50 | +24.2% | Hold | 15.7x | 69 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ALLE stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for ALLE is $181.5, -2.1% from its current price of $185.39. The below-market target from 24 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
ALLE has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 14 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $181.5 implies -2.1% downside from current levels.
ALLE trades at a forward P/E of 20.3598x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $181.5 (-2.1% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $196 for ALLE, while the most conservative target is $170. The consensus of $181.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $309 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ALLE is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ALLE stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $181.5, with estimates ranging from $170 (bear case) to $196 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $235, with bear/bull scenarios of $148/$309.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ALLE's fair value at $235 (base case), with a bear case of $148 and bull case of $309. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 57/100.
ALLE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 24.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on ALLE, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $181.5 (-2.1% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ALLE analyst price targets range from $170 to $196, a 14% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $181.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $148-$309 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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