ALLE trades 1.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $156.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ALLE achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 17.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 23 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Allegion plc (ALLE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $156.00, based on estimates from 23 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $154.09, this represents a potential upside of +1.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $13.10B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $142.00 to a high of $170.00, representing a 18% spread in expectations. The median target of $156.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, ALLE trades at a trailing P/E of 20.7x and forward P/E of 17.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.01 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +16.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $158.63, with bear and bull scenarios of $99.94 and $209.01 respectively. Model confidence stands at 56/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ASGNASGN Incorporated | $1.4B | $32.27 | $34.75 | +7.7% | Hold | 8.9x | 13 |
 MASMasco Corporation | $13.4B | $68.16 | $82.40 | +20.9% | Buy | 15.0x | 38 |
 SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $13.9B | $91.76 | $92.00 | +0.3% | Hold | 20.2x | 37 |
 SAIASaia, Inc. | $9.2B | $343.85 | $455.90 | +32.6% | Buy | 30.3x | 32 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.5B | $43.62 | $52.89 | +21.3% | Hold | 24.7x | 34 |
 JELDJELD-WEN Holding, Inc. | $155M | $1.80 | $1.87 | +3.9% | Hold | — | 27 |
 GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc. | $11.7B | $199.42 | $304.20 | +52.5% | Buy | 20.5x | 40 |
 ARLOArlo Technologies, Inc. | $1.5B | $13.66 | $18.67 | +36.7% | Buy | 14.4x | 11 |
 SSNCSS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. | $18.7B | $79.72 | $91.50 | +14.8% | Buy | 11.2x | 24 |
 QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated | $207.1B | $197.24 | $204.48 | +3.7% | Hold | 18.7x | 69 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ALLE stock.
The consensus price target for ALLE is $156, close to the current price of $154.09 (1.2% implied move). Based on 23 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
ALLE has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 23 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $156 implies 1.2% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 17.2166x, ALLE trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $156 implies 1.2% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $170 for ALLE, while the most conservative target is $142. The consensus of $156 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $209 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ALLE is well covered by analysts, with 23 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ALLE stock forecast based on 23 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $156, with estimates ranging from $142 (bear case) to $170 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $159, with bear/bull scenarios of $100/$209.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ALLE's fair value at $159 (base case), with a bear case of $100 and bull case of $209. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 56/100.
ALLE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 20.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
ALLE appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $156 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ALLE analyst price targets range from $142 to $170, a 18% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $156 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $100-$209 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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