Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$81.03
Price Target
$89.17
Target Range
$82.00 — $100.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E17.8x
Trailing P/E30.6x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+86.7%
Median Target$85.50
Analyst Spread20.2%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$82
+1.2%
Consensus
$89
+10.0%
Bull Case
$100
+23.4%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 61/100
Bear$25
Base$91
Bull$105
SWK Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $89.17, based on estimates from 37 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $81.03, this represents a potential upside of +10.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $12.60B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $82.00 to a high of $100.00, representing a 20% spread in expectations. The median target of $85.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,19 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, SWK trades at a trailing P/E of 30.6x and forward P/E of 17.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +86.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $90.88, with bear and bull scenarios of $24.77 and $104.99 respectively. Model confidence stands at 61/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+30.9%
Avg Forward P/E22.7x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TTITETRA Technologies, Inc. | $1.3B | $9.86 | $12.25 | +24.2% | Buy | 41.8x | 31 |
 SNASnap-on Incorporated | $20.1B | $386.32 | $413.00 | +6.9% | Buy | 20.2x | 17 |
 KMTKennametal Inc. | $3.3B | $43.27 | $36.00 | -16.8% | Hold | 17.7x | 23 |
 ALLEAllegion plc | $11.6B | $135.33 | $172.50 | +27.5% | Hold | 15.4x | 23 |
 MWAMueller Water Products, Inc. | $4.2B | $27.14 | $33.33 | +22.8% | Hold | 18.8x | 21 |
 IRIngersoll Rand Inc. | $30.8B | $78.65 | $99.50 | +26.5% | Buy | 22.4x | 15 |
 HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding Company | $274M | $20.42 | — | — | Hold | 12.8x | 1 |
 DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc. | $2.8B | $181.51 | $154.00 | -15.2% | Hold | 29.7x | 7 |
 LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | $15.1B | $274.89 | $301.71 | +9.8% | Hold | 25.4x | 22 |
 WWWW International, Inc. | $118M | $11.80 | $34.50 | +192.4% | Hold | — | 24 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonSWK — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SWK stock.
What is the SWK stock price target for 2026?
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) has a consensus 12-month price target of $89.17, implying 10.0% upside from $81.03. The 37 analysts covering SWK see moderate appreciation potential.
Is SWK a buy, sell, or hold?
SWK has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 19 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $89.17 implies 10.0% upside from current levels.
Is SWK stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 17.8229x, SWK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $89.17 implies 10.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can SWK stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $100 for SWK, while the most conservative target is $82. The consensus of $89.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $105 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SWK stock?
SWK is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 19 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SWK stock forecast?
The 12-month SWK stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $89.17, with estimates ranging from $82 (bear case) to $100 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $91, with bear/bull scenarios of $25/$105.
What is SWK's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SWK's fair value at $91 (base case), with a bear case of $25 and bull case of $105. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.
What is SWK's forward P/E ratio?
SWK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 30.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SWK stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on SWK, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $89.17 price target (10.0% upside). 16 of 37 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SWK price targets vary so much?
SWK analyst price targets range from $82 to $100, a 20% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $89.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $25-$105 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.