Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 31 analysts2.8% Below Target
TREX trades 2.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $48.43.
Current Price$47.13
Average Target$48.43
Target
Current
Low$36.00
Median$48.00
High$59.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E28.1x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio8.41
(Expensive)
Implied Growth-7.9%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread47.5%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes TREX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 28.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 31 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
TREX Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $48.43, based on estimates from 31 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $47.13, this represents a potential upside of +2.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.90B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $36.00 to a high of $59.00, representing a 47% spread in expectations. The median target of $48.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 9 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, TREX trades at a trailing P/E of 26.5x and forward P/E of 28.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 8.41 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -7.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $52.35, with bear and bull scenarios of $32.98 and $68.98 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+17.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
25.6x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CPRICapri Holdings Limited | $2.3B | $20.32 | $23.29 | +14.6% | Hold | 14.5x | 54 |
 UFPIUFP Industries, Inc. | $4.9B | $86.58 | $97.50 | +12.6% | Buy | 18.6x | 8 |
 LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corporation | $5.4B | $77.56 | $98.50 | +27.0% | Buy | 38.9x | 24 |
 MHKMohawk Industries, Inc. | $6.9B | $112.30 | $123.71 | +10.2% | Hold | 13.1x | 32 |
 AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | $6.7B | $157.88 | $197.50 | +25.1% | Buy | 19.0x | 26 |
 AMWDAmerican Woodmark Corporation | $701M | $48.09 | $47.00 | -2.3% | Hold | 20.9x | 10 |
 BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | $8.9B | $80.59 | $106.38 | +32.0% | Buy | 18.8x | 43 |
 HDThe Home Depot, Inc. | $333.0B | $334.28 | $373.92 | +11.9% | Buy | 22.4x | 62 |
 LOWLowe's Companies, Inc. | $124.5B | $222.10 | $279.18 | +25.7% | Buy | 17.8x | 51 |
 WYWeyerhaeuser Company | $17.5B | $24.32 | $28.50 | +17.2% | Buy | 72.4x | 25 |
TREX — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TREX stock.
What is the TREX stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for TREX is $48.43, close to the current price of $47.13 (2.8% implied move). Based on 31 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is TREX a buy, sell, or hold?
TREX has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 31 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 20 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $48.43 implies 2.8% upside from current levels.
Is TREX stock overvalued or undervalued?
TREX trades at a forward P/E of 28.1138x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $48.43 (2.8% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can TREX stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $59 for TREX, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $48.43 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $69 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TREX stock?
TREX is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 31 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TREX stock forecast?
The 12-month TREX stock forecast based on 31 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $48.43, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $59 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $52, with bear/bull scenarios of $33/$69.
What is TREX's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TREX's fair value at $52 (base case), with a bear case of $33 and bull case of $69. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
What is TREX's forward P/E ratio?
TREX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.5x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TREX stock?
TREX appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $48.43 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TREX price targets vary so much?
TREX analyst price targets range from $36 to $59, a 47% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $48.43 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $33-$69 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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