AOMR trades 11.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $10.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AOMR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 7.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 30, 2026, Angel Oak Mortgage, Inc. (AOMR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $8.97, this represents a potential upside of +11.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $223M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $10.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $10.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, AOMR trades at a trailing P/E of 5.0x and forward P/E of 7.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.06 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +86.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $37.92, with bear and bull scenarios of $23.89 and $49.96 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MITTTPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc | $256M | $8.06 | $9.13 | +13.3% | Buy | 7.4x | 18 |
GPMTGranite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. | $71M | $1.49 | $2.50 | +67.8% | Hold | — | 12 |
SACHSachem Capital Corp. | $45M | $0.95 | — | — | — | — | — |
BXMTBlackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $2.9B | $17.42 | $21.00 | +20.6% | Hold | 12.0x | 18 |
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $196M | $4.83 | $8.95 | +85.3% | Hold | 5.2x | 12 |
KREFKKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $454M | $7.06 | $7.00 | -0.8% | Buy | — | 12 |
RCReady Capital Corporation | $291M | $1.76 | $5.00 | +184.1% | Buy | — | 16 |
NLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. | $17.0B | $23.15 | $24.33 | +5.1% | Buy | 7.7x | 28 |
AGNCAGNC Investment Corp. | $12.6B | $11.00 | $11.13 | +1.2% | Hold | 7.1x | 35 |
MFAMFA Financial, Inc. | $1.0B | $9.87 | $10.50 | +6.4% | Hold | 7.9x | 23 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AOMR stock.
Angel Oak Mortgage, Inc. (AOMR) has a consensus 12-month price target of $10, implying 11.5% upside from $8.97. The 8 analysts covering AOMR see moderate appreciation potential.
AOMR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $10 implies 11.5% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 7.4077x, AOMR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $10 implies 11.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for AOMR, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $10 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $50 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AOMR is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AOMR stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $38, with bear/bull scenarios of $24/$50.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AOMR's fair value at $38 (base case), with a bear case of $24 and bull case of $50. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
AOMR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 5.0x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on AOMR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $10 price target (11.5% upside). 4 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AOMR analyst price targets range from $10 to $10, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $24-$50 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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