7.2% Below Target

The consensus price target for AGNC is $11.13, close to the current price of $10.38 (7.2% implied move). Based on 35 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

AGNC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 35 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 19 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $11.13 implies 7.2% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 6.6615x, AGNC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $11.13 implies 7.2% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $12 for AGNC, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $11.13 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $40 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

AGNC is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 35 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 19 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month AGNC stock forecast based on 35 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $11.13, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $12 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $31, with bear/bull scenarios of $19/$40.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates AGNC's fair value at $31 (base case), with a bear case of $19 and bull case of $40. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.

AGNC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

AGNC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $11.13 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

AGNC analyst price targets range from $10 to $12, a 18% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $11.13 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19-$40 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.