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APG trades 33.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $53.25.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes APG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 23.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 28, 2026, APi Group Corporation (APG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $53.25, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $39.93, this represents a potential upside of +33.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $17.27B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $52.00 to a high of $55.00, representing a 6% spread in expectations. The median target of $53.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, APG trades at a trailing P/E of -57.9x and forward P/E of 23.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +129.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $13.13, with bear and bull scenarios of $8.27 and $17.30 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MYRGMYR Group Inc. | $5.7B | $369.00 | $468.75 | +27.0% | Hold | 32.2x | 21 |
 PWRQuanta Services, Inc. | $93.1B | $620.28 | $721.08 | +16.3% | Buy | 44.3x | 36 |
 MTZMasTec, Inc. | $26.5B | $336.79 | $459.90 | +36.6% | Buy | 37.3x | 36 |
 WLDNWilldan Group, Inc. | $1.1B | $71.86 | $110.00 | +53.1% | Buy | 17.4x | 7 |
 CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc. | $2.4B | $10.71 | $12.33 | +15.1% | Buy | 96.3x | 8 |
 FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc. | $60.9B | $1730.42 | $2015.43 | +16.5% | Buy | 39.7x | 9 |
 ABMABM Industries Incorporated | $2.8B | $48.46 | $49.00 | +1.1% | Hold | 12.2x | 11 |
 TTEKTetra Tech, Inc. | $8.3B | $31.89 | $35.00 | +9.8% | Hold | 20.6x | 26 |
 PRIMPrimoris Services Corporation | $4.6B | $85.53 | $141.78 | +65.8% | Buy | 38.7x | 25 |
 EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. | $33.1B | $742.75 | $987.67 | +33.0% | Buy | 25.3x | 13 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying APG stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for APG is $53.25, representing 33.4% upside from the current price of $39.93. With 8 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
APG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 8 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $53.25 implies 33.4% upside from current levels.
APG trades at a forward P/E of 23.4139x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $53.25 (33.4% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $55 for APG, while the most conservative target is $52. The consensus of $53.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $17 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
APG is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month APG stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $53.25, with estimates ranging from $52 (bear case) to $55 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $13, with bear/bull scenarios of $8/$17.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates APG's fair value at $13 (base case), with a bear case of $8 and bull case of $17. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
APG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on APG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $53.25 price target (33.4% upside). 8 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
APG analyst price targets range from $52 to $55, a 6% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $53.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $8-$17 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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