ARCB trades 28.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $164.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ARCB achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 18.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 24 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, ArcBest Corp (ARCB) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $164.00, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $127.91, this represents a potential upside of +28.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.85B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $150.00 to a high of $180.00, representing a 18% spread in expectations. The median target of $164.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 12 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,11 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, ARCB trades at a trailing P/E of 100.0x and forward P/E of 18.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +862.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $257.31, with bear and bull scenarios of $162.10 and $339.02 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | $34.3B | $164.92 | $223.62 | +35.6% | Hold | 27.7x | 36 |
 SAIASaia, Inc. | $8.9B | $331.90 | $444.78 | +34.0% | Buy | 28.9x | 33 |
 XPOXPO Logistics, Inc. | $20.8B | $176.95 | $227.31 | +28.5% | Buy | 30.7x | 32 |
 TFIITFI International Inc. | $7.8B | $94.94 | $165.20 | +74.0% | Buy | 16.8x | 19 |
 CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $14.8B | $125.33 | $179.88 | +43.5% | Buy | 19.7x | 46 |
 FWRDForward Air Corporation | $526M | $16.64 | $26.00 | +56.3% | Hold | — | 21 |
 RLGTRadiant Logistics, Inc. | $416M | $8.89 | $12.00 | +35.0% | Buy | 30.1x | 4 |
 GXOGXO Logistics, Inc. | $6.3B | $55.18 | $68.29 | +23.8% | Buy | 18.1x | 18 |
 UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $92.0B | $108.30 | $115.79 | +6.9% | Hold | 14.9x | 45 |
 FDXFedEx Corporation | $73.5B | $308.14 | $301.85 | -2.0% | Buy | 16.8x | 49 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ARCB stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for ARCB is $164, representing 28.2% upside from the current price of $127.91. With 24 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
ARCB has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 11 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $164 implies 28.2% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 18.2239x, ARCB trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $164 implies 28.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $180 for ARCB, while the most conservative target is $150. The consensus of $164 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $339 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ARCB is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ARCB stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $164, with estimates ranging from $150 (bear case) to $180 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $257, with bear/bull scenarios of $162/$339.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARCB's fair value at $257 (base case), with a bear case of $162 and bull case of $339. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
ARCB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 100.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on ARCB, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $164 price target (28.2% upside). 12 of 24 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ARCB analyst price targets range from $150 to $180, a 18% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $164 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $162-$339 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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