1.6% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for ODFL is $217.5, -1.6% from its current price of $221.04. The below-market target from 36 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

ODFL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 36 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 20 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $217.5 implies -1.6% downside from current levels.

At a forward P/E of 40.5481x, ODFL trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $217.5 (-1.6% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $240 for ODFL, while the most conservative target is $138. The consensus of $217.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $367 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ODFL is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 36 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ODFL stock forecast based on 36 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $217.5, with estimates ranging from $138 (bear case) to $240 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $278, with bear/bull scenarios of $175/$367.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ODFL's fair value at $278 (base case), with a bear case of $175 and bull case of $367. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.

ODFL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 40.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 45.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on ODFL, with 5 Sell ratings and a price target of $217.5 (-1.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ODFL analyst price targets range from $138 to $240, a 47% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $217.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $175-$367 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.