10.5% Above Target

ARR's consensus price target is $15, -10.5% below the current price of $16.76. The 25 analysts tracking ARR see downside risk at present valuations.

ARR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 25 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $15 implies -10.5% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 5.4515x, ARR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $15 implies -10.5% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $18 for ARR, while the most conservative target is $13. The consensus of $15 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $77 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ARR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 25 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ARR stock forecast based on 25 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $13 (bear case) to $18 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $58, with bear/bull scenarios of $37/$77.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARR's fair value at $58 (base case), with a bear case of $37 and bull case of $77. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.

ARR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 5.1x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on ARR, with 5 Sell ratings and a price target of $15 (-10.5% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ARR analyst price targets range from $13 to $18, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $15 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $37-$77 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.