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IVRInvesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
$8.00$575M
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IVR logo

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 20 analysts

6.3% Above Target

IVR trades 6.3% above Wall Street's consensus target of $7.50.

Current Price$8.00
Average Target$7.50
Target
Current
Low$2.00
Median$8.00
High$10.50

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E3.8x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+37.6%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread113.3%
(Wide Disagreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$8.00
Consensus$7.50
High$10.50
Low$2.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes IVR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 3.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 20 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 20 published analyst recommendations for IVR

50% hold / mixed conviction
+10
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 20 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage20 Analysts
Net Score+10
Bull / Bear35% / 15%
Strong Buy00%
Buy735%
Hold1050%
Sell315%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
735%
Hold
1050%
Sell
315%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix35% Buy · 50% Hold · 15% Sell
Buy (7)Hold (10)Sell (3)

IVR Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $7.50, based on estimates from 20 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $8.00, this represents a potential downside of -6.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $575M.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $2.00 to a high of $10.50, representing a 113% spread in expectations. The median target of $8.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, IVR trades at a trailing P/E of 5.2x and forward P/E of 3.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +37.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $29.21, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.40 and $38.48 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+11.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
7.3x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
AGNC logo
AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.
$11.7B$10.38$11.13
+7.2%
Hold6.7x35
NLY logo
NLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc.
$16.0B$22.21$24.33
+9.5%
Buy7.4x28
DX logo
DXDynex Capital, Inc.
$2.0B$13.06$16.33
+25.0%
Hold9.3x14
MFA logo
MFAMFA Financial, Inc.
$973M$9.53$10.50
+10.2%
Hold7.5x23
TWO logo
TWOTwo Harbors Investment Corp.
$1.3B$12.32$13.50
+9.6%
Hold10.8x22
EARN logo
EARNEllington Credit Company
$165M$4.39$6.00
+36.7%
Hold5.0x7
CIM logo
CIMChimera Investment Corporation
$1.1B$13.28$10.75
-19.1%
Hold6.2x16
EFC logo
EFCEllington Financial Inc.
$1.3B$13.44$13.50
+0.4%
Buy7.0x13
MITT logo
MITTTPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc
$252M$7.94$9.42
+18.6%
Buy7.3x18
ORC logo
ORCOrchid Island Capital, Inc.
$1.0B$6.70$7.50
+11.9%
Hold5.7x5

IVR — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying IVR stock.

What is the IVR stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for IVR is $7.5, -6.3% from its current price of $8. The below-market target from 20 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is IVR a buy, sell, or hold?

IVR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 20 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $7.5 implies -6.3% downside from current levels.

Is IVR stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 3.8079x, IVR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $7.5 implies -6.3% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can IVR stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10.5 for IVR, while the most conservative target is $2. The consensus of $7.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $38 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover IVR stock?

IVR is well covered by analysts, with 20 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the IVR stock forecast?

The 12-month IVR stock forecast based on 20 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $7.5, with estimates ranging from $2 (bear case) to $10.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $29, with bear/bull scenarios of $18/$38.

What is IVR's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates IVR's fair value at $29 (base case), with a bear case of $18 and bull case of $38. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.

What is IVR's forward P/E ratio?

IVR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 3.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 5.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy IVR stock?

Analysts are cautious on IVR, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $7.5 (-6.3% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do IVR price targets vary so much?

IVR analyst price targets range from $2 to $10.5, a 113% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $7.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $18-$38 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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