Bull case
The bull case prices BE at 15x on FY1 earnings, assuming continued execution and no meaningful deceleration in the core business.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where BE stock could go
The bull case prices BE at 15x on FY1 earnings, assuming continued execution and no meaningful deceleration in the core business.
At 11x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 146x multiple contraction could push BE down roughly 95% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Bloom Energy designs and manufactures solid-oxide fuel cell systems that generate clean electricity on-site for commercial and industrial customers. It makes money primarily through product sales of its Energy Server systems — which account for most revenue — supplemented by long-term service contracts that provide recurring maintenance income. The company's key advantage is its proprietary solid-oxide fuel cell technology that efficiently converts various fuels — including natural gas, biogas, and hydrogen — into electricity without combustion, offering customers reliable, resilient power with lower emissions.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.10/$0.01 | +725.8% | $401M/$376M | +6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.15/$0.10 | +49.0% | $519M/$427M | +21.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45/$0.31 | +46.7% | $778M/$648M | +19.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.44/$0.12 | +255.1% | $751M/$540M | +39.1% |
BE beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $22 — implies -93.3% from today's price.
| Metric | BE | S&P 500 | Industrials | 5Y Avg BE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 153.5x | 18.8x+716% | 21.2x+625% | — |
| Trailing PE | -888.9x | 24.4x-3736% | 25.6x-3576% | — |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.66x | 1.65x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 645.3x | 15.2x+4143% | 13.9x+4545% | 76.1x+749% |
| Price/FCF | 1382.6x | 20.7x+6581% | 20.0x+6797% | 152.3x+808% |
| Price/Sales | 39.1x | 3.1x+1164% | 1.6x+2401% | 4.6x+750% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | 1.91% | 1.21% | 0.02% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolBE generates $233M in free cash flow at a 9.5% margin.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~2.3 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
Trailing 12-month revenue shows significant fluctuation, with Q1 2026 revenue at $751.1 million but net income only $6.0 million over the same period, indicating potential instability.
Despite $2.4 billion in trailing 12-month revenue, basic EPS is just $0.02, raising questions about sustainable profitability and margin pressures.
Revenue growth forecasts of 20.2% may face challenges given current margin performance and macroeconomic sensitivity.
The company operates in a competitive energy sector, where differentiation and technological edge are critical for long-term success.
Sensitivity analysis highlights significant valuation shifts under different scenarios, indicating high dependency on revenue growth and margin assumptions.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
Arya's Substack presents a bullish case for Bloom Energy Corporation, highlighting its potential as a strong investment.
Bloom Energy's trailing and forward P/E ratios indicate potential undervaluation or growth expectations.
Bloom Energy is solidifying its position as a leading provider of on-site energy solutions.
A detailed breakdown of Bloom Energy's business and investment thesis provides clarity on its growth potential.
The stock's trading price and analyst coverage reflect market confidence in Bloom Energy's future performance.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE BE Bloom Energy Corporation | $79.1B | 153.5x | +20.2% | 0.2% | Buy | -29.1% |
PLU PLUG Plug Power Inc. | $3.3B | — | +11.0% | -227.1% | Buy | -35.1% |
FCE FCEL FuelCell Energy, Inc. | $1.3B | — | +10.6% | -132.7% | Hold | -25.1% |
BLD BLDP Ballard Power Systems Inc. | $1.3B | — | +11.9% | -91.5% | Hold | -17.6% |
GNR GNRC Generac Holdings Inc. | $16.4B | 31.2x | +8.1% | 4.4% | Buy | +1.3% |
ARR ARRY Array Technologies, Inc. | $1.2B | 11.0x | +15.1% | -5.6% | Buy | +22.5% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
BE does not currently return meaningful capital to shareholders.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 31 analysts covering the stock, 16 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 12 rate it Hold, and 3 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $233, implying -29.1% from the current price of $329. The bear case scenario is $15 and the bull case is $32.
The Wall Street consensus price target for BE is $233 based on 31 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $335 (+1.9% from today), and the low-end target is $68 (-79.3%). The base case model target is $24.
BE trades at 153.5x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for BE in 2026 are: (1) Profitability concerns — Despite $2. (2) Valuation sensitivity — Sensitivity analysis highlights significant valuation shifts under different scenarios, indicating high dependency on revenue growth and margin assumptions. (3) Revenue volatility — Trailing 12-month revenue shows significant fluctuation, with Q1 2026 revenue at $751. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates BE will report consensus revenue of $2.9B (+20.2% year-over-year) and EPS of $0.65 (+3351.3% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $3.6B in revenue.
Bloom Energy Corporation is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-30. Consensus expects EPS of $0.35 and revenue of $809M. Over recent quarters, BE has beaten EPS estimates 58% of the time.
Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) generated $233M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 9.5%. BE returns capital to shareholders through dividends (0.0% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).