Bull case
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing BE more generously than it does today.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where BE stock could go
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing BE more generously than it does today.
The base case reflects analyst consensus expectations — steady delivery without requiring a major catalyst or re-rating.
The bear case reflects a scenario where earnings shortfalls or multiple compression combine to materially reduce the stock from its current level.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Bloom Energy designs and manufactures solid-oxide fuel cell systems that generate clean electricity on-site for commercial and industrial customers. It makes money primarily through product sales of its Energy Server systems — which account for most revenue — supplemented by long-term service contracts that provide recurring maintenance income. The company's key advantage is its proprietary solid-oxide fuel cell technology that efficiently converts various fuels — including natural gas, biogas, and hydrogen — into electricity without combustion, offering customers reliable, resilient power with lower emissions.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.10/$0.01 | +725.8% | $401M/$376M | +6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.15/$0.10 | +49.0% | $519M/$427M | +21.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45/$0.31 | +46.7% | $778M/$648M | +19.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.44/$0.12 | +255.1% | $751M/$540M | +39.1% |
BE beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $28 — implies -90.4% from today's price.
| Metric | BE | S&P 500 | Industrials | 5Y Avg BE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 136.4x | 19.1x+615% | 20.8x+555% | — |
| Trailing PE | -771.5x | 25.2x-3158% | 25.9x-3083% | — |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.75x | 1.59x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 560.7x | 15.3x+3576% | 13.9x+3936% | 76.1x+637% |
| Price/FCF | 1200.0x | 21.3x+5526% | 20.6x+5716% | 152.3x+688% |
| Price/Sales | 33.9x | 3.1x+982% | 1.6x+2033% | 4.6x+638% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | 1.88% | 1.24% | 0.02% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolBE generates $233M in free cash flow at a 9.5% margin.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~2.3 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Bloom Energy shows a low Altman Z‑score and a negative Beneish M‑Score, indicating potential earnings manipulation or financial distress. Revenue per share and EPS have been trending downward, and the company’s 5‑year revenue growth rate is negative, raising concerns that the stock may be a value trap.
The company’s revenue per share has been declining, and its 5‑year revenue growth rate is negative, suggesting diminishing demand or increased competition. This trend could erode future cash flows and limit the ability to invest in growth initiatives.
As Bloom Energy ramps up production, it faces significant risk of cost overruns, especially under fixed‑price contracts. Unforeseen expenses could erode margins and delay project completion, impacting profitability.
Bloom Energy’s products require building codes, safety, and environmental permits. Delays in obtaining approvals can stall installations, reduce revenue, and increase compliance costs, potentially leading to audits or litigation.
The company’s projects involve construction, utility interconnection, fuel supply, and cost overruns. Delays or failures in meeting government permits and timelines can push back revenue recognition and increase costs.
Current production constraints raise doubts about Bloom Energy’s ability to meet rapidly growing demand in the short term. Even with expansion plans, capacity limits could delay deliveries and reduce market share.
Recent tariff announcements could increase Bloom Energy’s cost structure and compress margins. The company plans mitigation through cost‑reduction strategies, but the impact on profitability remains uncertain.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Bloom Energy projects EPS growth of 314.20% and revenue growth of 63.62% for the coming year, surpassing its three‑year averages. The company aims to reach a 10‑gigawatt annual installation target by 2030, positioning it for significant scale.
Bloom Energy is actively forming partnerships with large organizations such as data centers, factories, and hospitals, indicating growing market acceptance and future potential.
Net profit margin improved from -13.19% to -4.37% over the last three years, while TTM free cash flow growth hit 72.54%, well above its three‑year average.
The global push for clean energy and reduced emissions creates a favorable environment for Bloom Energy’s solid‑oxide fuel cell solutions, driving demand for on‑site, reliable power.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE BE Bloom Energy Corporation | $68.6B | 136.4x | +34.6% | 0.2% | Buy | -34.3% |
PLU PLUG Plug Power Inc. | $4.6B | — | +9.7% | -229.8% | Buy | +18.1% |
FCE FCEL FuelCell Energy, Inc. | $674M | — | +21.5% | -108.0% | Hold | -31.9% |
BLD BLDP Ballard Power Systems Inc. | $1.4B | — | +22.2% | -91.5% | Hold | -43.1% |
GNR GNRC Generac Holdings Inc. | $15.7B | 31.0x | +4.6% | 4.4% | Buy | +1.4% |
ARR ARRY Array Technologies, Inc. | $1.2B | 11.6x | +17.1% | -5.6% | Buy | +12.9% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
BE does not currently return meaningful capital to shareholders.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 31 analysts covering the stock, 16 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 12 rate it Hold, and 3 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $188, implying -34.3% from the current price of $285.
The Wall Street consensus price target for BE is $188 based on 31 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $310 (+8.6% from today), and the low-end target is $39 (-86.3%).
BE trades at 136.4x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals significantly overvalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for BE in 2026 are: (1) Financial Viability Risk — Bloom Energy shows a low Altman Z‑score and a negative Beneish M‑Score, indicating potential earnings manipulation or financial distress. (2) Revenue Growth Risk — The company’s revenue per share has been declining, and its 5‑year revenue growth rate is negative, suggesting diminishing demand or increased competition. (3) Manufacturing Cost Risk — As Bloom Energy ramps up production, it faces significant risk of cost overruns, especially under fixed‑price contracts. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates BE will report consensus revenue of $3.3B (+34.6% year-over-year) and EPS of $0.88 (+4577.2% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $4.6B in revenue.
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for BE is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) generated $233M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 9.5%. BE returns capital to shareholders through dividends (0.0% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).