BRCB trades 103.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $16.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes BRCB achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 40.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 28, 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Common Stock (BRCB) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $16.50, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $8.13, this represents a potential upside of +103.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $142M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $9.00 to a high of $22.00, representing a 79% spread in expectations. The median target of $17.50 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, BRCB trades at a trailing P/E of -2391.2x and forward P/E of 40.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +174.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $2.05, with bear and bull scenarios of $1.29 and $2.70 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SBUXStarbucks Corporation | $119.2B | $104.60 | $108.50 | +3.7% | Buy | 43.8x | 59 |
BROSDutch Bros Inc. | $9.1B | $71.85 | $76.67 | +6.7% | Buy | 78.4x | 22 |
CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | $1.2B | $52.85 | $49.00 | -7.3% | Hold | — | 31 |
MCDMcDonald's Corporation | $191.7B | $269.76 | $347.33 | +28.8% | Buy | 20.8x | 62 |
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $25.8B | $74.34 | $83.73 | +12.6% | Buy | 18.3x | 44 |
WENThe Wendy's Company | $1.5B | $7.80 | $7.95 | +1.9% | Hold | 13.6x | 51 |
JACKJack in the Box Inc. | $263M | $13.81 | $16.23 | +17.5% | Hold | 4.1x | 41 |
SHAKShake Shack Inc. | $2.3B | $56.87 | $90.58 | +59.3% | Buy | 49.6x | 37 |
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc. | $12.9B | $196.59 | $191.46 | -2.6% | Hold | 30.6x | 44 |
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | $45.4B | $33.40 | $32.50 | -2.7% | Buy | 14.6x | 28 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BRCB stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for BRCB is $16.5, representing 103.0% upside from the current price of $8.13. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
BRCB has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $16.5 implies 103.0% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 40.3674x, BRCB trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $16.5 (103.0% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $22 for BRCB, while the most conservative target is $9. The consensus of $16.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $3 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
BRCB is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month BRCB stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $16.5, with estimates ranging from $9 (bear case) to $22 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $2, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$3.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BRCB's fair value at $2 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $3. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
BRCB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 40.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on BRCB, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $16.5 price target (103.0% upside). 4 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BRCB analyst price targets range from $9 to $22, a 79% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $16.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$3 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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