MCD trades 2.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $283.58.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MCD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 21.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 64 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $283.58, based on estimates from 64 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $276.52, this represents a potential upside of +2.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $196.47B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $230.00 to a high of $325.00, representing a 34% spread in expectations. The median target of $286.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 37 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,25 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MCD trades at a trailing P/E of 23.1x and forward P/E of 21.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.57 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +5.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $267.87, with bear and bull scenarios of $168.76 and $352.94 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 YUMYum! Brands, Inc. | $44.4B | $161.14 | $171.13 | +6.2% | Hold | 25.0x | 51 |
 QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $27.0B | $77.69 | $85.18 | +9.6% | Buy | 19.2x | 44 |
 WENThe Wendy's Company | $1.6B | $8.15 | $8.00 | -1.8% | Hold | 16.8x | 51 |
 JACKJack in the Box Inc. | $269M | $14.09 | $16.45 | +16.7% | Hold | 4.5x | 41 |
 SHAKShake Shack Inc. | $2.9B | $71.89 | $80.06 | +11.4% | Buy | 63.1x | 37 |
 CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | $44.2B | $34.43 | $40.59 | +17.9% | Buy | 31.5x | 68 |
 SBUXStarbucks Corporation | $120.2B | $105.41 | $116.00 | +10.0% | Buy | 32.8x | 59 |
 DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc. | $11.1B | $334.28 | $346.50 | +3.7% | Buy | 17.5x | 53 |
 PZZAPapa John's International, Inc. | $649M | $19.73 | $23.40 | +18.6% | Buy | 16.8x | 32 |
 WINGWingstop Inc. | $4.4B | $163.28 | $185.43 | +13.6% | Buy | 39.2x | 43 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MCD stock.
The consensus price target for MCD is $283.58, close to the current price of $276.52 (2.6% implied move). Based on 64 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
MCD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 64 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 37 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $283.58 implies 2.6% upside from current levels.
MCD trades at a forward P/E of 21.3934x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $283.58 (2.6% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $325 for MCD, while the most conservative target is $230. The consensus of $283.58 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $353 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MCD is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 64 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 37 have Buy ratings, 25 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MCD stock forecast based on 64 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $283.58, with estimates ranging from $230 (bear case) to $325 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $268, with bear/bull scenarios of $169/$353.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MCD's fair value at $268 (base case), with a bear case of $169 and bull case of $353. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
MCD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
MCD appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $283.58 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MCD analyst price targets range from $230 to $325, a 34% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $283.58 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $169-$353 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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