Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$157.93
Price Target
$191.64
Target Range
$165.00 — $210.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E25.0x
Trailing P/E25.9x
Forward PEG1.17
Implied Growth-4.0%
Median Target$195.00
Analyst Spread23.5%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$165
+4.5%
Consensus
$192
+21.3%
Bull Case
$210
+33.0%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 59/100
Bear$38
Base$208
Bull$282
TXRH Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $191.64, based on estimates from 43 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $157.93, this represents a potential upside of +21.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $10.41B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $165.00 to a high of $210.00, representing a 23% spread in expectations. The median target of $195.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 17 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,26 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, TXRH trades at a trailing P/E of 25.9x and forward P/E of 25.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.17 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -4.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $208.16, with bear and bull scenarios of $37.57 and $281.97 respectively. Model confidence stands at 59/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+18.3%
Avg Forward P/E15.0x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc. | $678M | $7.95 | $8.50 | +6.9% | Hold | 9.5x | 28 |
 DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc. | $23.1B | $195.16 | $225.36 | +15.5% | Buy | 18.4x | 59 |
 CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | $3.0B | $60.80 | $65.50 | +7.7% | Hold | 15.0x | 48 |
 DENNDenny's Corporation | $322M | $6.25 | $6.00 | -4.0% | Buy | 15.0x | 21 |
 CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | $696M | $31.15 | $30.60 | -1.8% | Hold | — | 31 |
 EATBrinker International, Inc. | $6.3B | $146.30 | $184.46 | +26.1% | Buy | 13.7x | 47 |
 BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc. | $859M | $40.88 | $40.50 | -0.9% | Buy | 17.5x | 31 |
 RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | $81M | $3.67 | $7.00 | +90.7% | Hold | — | 38 |
 ARKRArk Restaurants Corp. | $27M | $7.40 | — | — | — | — | — |
 SYYSysco Corporation | $34.9B | $72.89 | $90.44 | +24.1% | Buy | 15.9x | 30 |
Upside Potential Comparison
RRGBEATSYYDRICAKEBLMNBJRICBRLFull TXRH Stock Analysis
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Start ComparisonTXRH — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TXRH stock.
What is the TXRH stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for TXRH is $191.64, representing 21.3% upside from the current price of $157.93. With 43 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is TXRH a buy, sell, or hold?
TXRH has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 43 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 26 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $191.64 implies 21.3% upside from current levels.
Is TXRH stock overvalued or undervalued?
TXRH trades at a forward P/E of 25.048x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $191.64 (21.3% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can TXRH stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $210 for TXRH, while the most conservative target is $165. The consensus of $191.64 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $282 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TXRH stock?
TXRH is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 43 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 26 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TXRH stock forecast?
The 12-month TXRH stock forecast based on 43 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $191.64, with estimates ranging from $165 (bear case) to $210 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $208, with bear/bull scenarios of $38/$282.
What is TXRH's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TXRH's fair value at $208 (base case), with a bear case of $38 and bull case of $282. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 59/100.
What is TXRH's forward P/E ratio?
TXRH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 25.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TXRH stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TXRH, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $191.64 price target (21.3% upside). 17 of 43 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TXRH price targets vary so much?
TXRH analyst price targets range from $165 to $210, a 23% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $191.64 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $38-$282 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.