CGAU trades 16.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $19.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes CGAU achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $19.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $22.61, this represents a potential downside of -16.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.42B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $19.00 to a high of $19.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $19.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CGAU trades at a trailing P/E of 7.8x and forward P/E of 13.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.90 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -46.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $17.61, with bear and bull scenarios of $11.10 and $23.21 respectively. Model confidence stands at 41/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 EGOEldorado Gold Corporation | $9.1B | $42.84 | $44.67 | +4.3% | Hold | 12.8x | 24 |
 CDECoeur Mining, Inc. | $19.9B | $19.32 | $21.50 | +11.3% | Buy | 17.8x | 21 |
 HLHecla Mining Company | $12.3B | $18.27 | $23.44 | +28.3% | Hold | 24.9x | 26 |
 PAASPan American Silver Corp. | $20.3B | $48.11 | $73.00 | +51.7% | Buy | 13.2x | 25 |
 NGDNew Gold Inc. | $7.2B | $9.08 | $8.91 | -1.9% | Buy | 6.6x | 18 |
 NEMNewmont Corporation | $130.2B | $123.55 | $136.83 | +10.7% | Buy | 13.1x | 37 |
 AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Limited | $99.0B | $195.57 | $218.83 | +11.9% | Buy | 16.4x | 31 |
 KGCKinross Gold Corporation | $33.0B | $27.62 | $37.00 | +34.0% | Buy | 9.9x | 29 |
 AUAngloGold Ashanti plc | $49.9B | $98.74 | $98.50 | -0.2% | Buy | 11.0x | 14 |
 IAGIamgold Corporation | $11.5B | $19.89 | $22.00 | +10.6% | Buy | 9.4x | 30 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CGAU stock.
CGAU's consensus price target is $19, -16.0% below the current price of $22.61. The 5 analysts tracking CGAU see downside risk at present valuations.
CGAU has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $19 implies -16.0% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.2478x, CGAU trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $19 implies -16.0% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $19 for CGAU, while the most conservative target is $19. The consensus of $19 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $23 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
CGAU is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month CGAU stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $19 (bear case) to $19 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $18, with bear/bull scenarios of $11/$23.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CGAU's fair value at $18 (base case), with a bear case of $11 and bull case of $23. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 41/100.
CGAU trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.8x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on CGAU, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $19 (-16.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CGAU analyst price targets range from $19 to $19, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $19 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $11-$23 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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