CHA trades 24.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $13.70.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes CHA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 1.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 15 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares (CHA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $13.70, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $10.98, this represents a potential upside of +24.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.09B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $15.70, representing a 42% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.55 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CHA trades at a trailing P/E of 12.2x and forward P/E of 1.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +83.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $160.78, with bear and bull scenarios of $101.29 and $211.85 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MNTNMNTN, Inc Class A | $731M | $9.89 | $18.60 | +88.1% | — | 12.6x | — |
 CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | $1.2B | $55.76 | $53.00 | -4.9% | Hold | — | 31 |
 BROSDutch Bros Inc. | $4.9B | $38.67 | $70.62 | +82.6% | Buy | 40.3x | 26 |
 SBUXStarbucks Corporation | $108.0B | $94.71 | $115.50 | +22.0% | Buy | 36.1x | 59 |
 MCDMcDonald's Corporation | $164.8B | $231.89 | $292.20 | +26.0% | Buy | 18.0x | 63 |
 QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $24.3B | $69.91 | $84.80 | +21.3% | Buy | 17.3x | 44 |
 WENThe Wendy's Company | $1.2B | $6.12 | $7.58 | +23.9% | Hold | 12.2x | 51 |
 JACKJack in the Box Inc. | $237M | $12.45 | $16.72 | +34.3% | Hold | 3.9x | 41 |
 DNUTKrispy Kreme, Inc. | $498M | $2.89 | $4.00 | +38.4% | Buy | — | 14 |
 USFDUS Foods Holding Corp. | $21.3B | $96.92 | $117.00 | +20.7% | Buy | 20.2x | 26 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CHA stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for CHA is $13.7, representing 24.8% upside from the current price of $10.98. With 15 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
CHA has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 8 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $13.7 implies 24.8% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 1.2063x, CHA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $13.7 implies 24.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $15.7 for CHA, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $13.7 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $212 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
CHA is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month CHA stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $13.7, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $15.7 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $161, with bear/bull scenarios of $101/$212.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CHA's fair value at $161 (base case), with a bear case of $101 and bull case of $212. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
CHA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on CHA, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $13.7 price target (24.8% upside). 8 of 15 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CHA analyst price targets range from $10 to $15.7, a 42% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $13.7 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $101-$212 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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