Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of February 28, 2026, Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares (CHA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $16.50, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $10.93, this represents a potential upside of +51.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.32B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $19.00, representing a 30% spread in expectations. The median target of $16.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, CHA trades at a trailing P/E of 5.5x and forward P/E of 7.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -83.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $186.50, with bear and bull scenarios of $-378.18 and $153.22 respectively. Model confidence stands at 21/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorSee our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.
View ValuationSee how CHA stacks up against sector leader Walmart Inc..
Start ComparisonThe consensus Wall Street price target for CHA is $16.5, representing 51.0% upside from the current price of $10.93. With 15 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
CHA has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 8 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $16.5 implies 51.0% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 7.1531x, CHA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $16.5 implies 51.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $19 for CHA, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $16.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $153 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
CHA is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month CHA stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $16.5, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $19 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $187, with bear/bull scenarios of $-378/$153.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CHA's fair value at $187 (base case), with a bear case of $-378 and bull case of $153. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 21/100.
CHA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 5.5x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on CHA, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $16.5 price target (51.0% upside). 6 of 15 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CHA analyst price targets range from $14 to $19, a 30% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $16.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-378-$153 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.