Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares (CHA) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 15 analysts14.5% Below Target
CHA trades 14.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $13.17.
Current Price$11.50
Average Target$13.17
Target
Current
Low$10.00
Median$14.00
High$15.50
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E1.2x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+52.6%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread41.8%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes CHA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 1.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 15 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
CHA Price Target Analysis
Updated June 24, 2026As of June 24, 2026, Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares (CHA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $13.17, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $11.50, this represents a potential upside of +14.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.19B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $15.50, representing a 42% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, CHA trades at a trailing P/E of 13.0x and forward P/E of 1.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +52.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $160.78, with bear and bull scenarios of $101.29 and $211.85 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+32.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
24.7x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MNTNMNTN Inc. | $666M | $8.44 | $20.64 | +144.5% | — | 9.1x | — |
 CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | $1.0B | $46.46 | $49.00 | +5.5% | Hold | — | 31 |
 BROSDutch Bros Inc. | $8.6B | $67.44 | $74.42 | +10.3% | Buy | 73.7x | 22 |
 SBUXStarbucks Corporation | $115.2B | $101.06 | $108.50 | +7.4% | Buy | 42.3x | 59 |
 MCDMcDonald's Corporation | $193.0B | $271.66 | $347.33 | +27.9% | Buy | 20.9x | 62 |
 QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $24.8B | $71.64 | $83.73 | +16.9% | Buy | 17.6x | 44 |
 WENThe Wendy's Company | $1.2B | $6.25 | $8.00 | +27.9% | Hold | 10.9x | 51 |
 JACKJack in the Box Inc. | $221M | $11.58 | $16.23 | +40.2% | Hold | 3.4x | 41 |
 DNUTKrispy Kreme, Inc. | $595M | $3.45 | $4.50 | +30.4% | Buy | — | 11 |
 USFDUS Foods Holding Corp. | $20.7B | $94.01 | $106.11 | +12.9% | Buy | 19.9x | 25 |
CHA — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CHA stock.
What is the CHA stock price target for 2026?
Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares (CHA) has a consensus 12-month price target of $13.17, implying 14.5% upside from $11.5. The 15 analysts covering CHA see moderate appreciation potential.
Is CHA a buy, sell, or hold?
CHA has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 7 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $13.17 implies 14.5% upside from current levels.
Is CHA stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 1.2402x, CHA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $13.17 implies 14.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can CHA stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $15.5 for CHA, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $13.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $212 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover CHA stock?
CHA is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the CHA stock forecast?
The 12-month CHA stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $13.17, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $15.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $161, with bear/bull scenarios of $101/$212.
What is CHA's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CHA's fair value at $161 (base case), with a bear case of $101 and bull case of $212. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
What is CHA's forward P/E ratio?
CHA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy CHA stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on CHA, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $13.17 price target (14.5% upside). 7 of 15 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do CHA price targets vary so much?
CHA analyst price targets range from $10 to $15.5, a 42% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $13.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $101-$212 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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