Upside case
Bull case
$99+85.9%
CTA-PA would need investors to value it at roughly 25x earnings — about 12x more generous than today's 14x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Analysis OverviewNo CoverageUpdated —
EIDP, Inc. (CTA-PA) Stock Analysis
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Analyst consensus
Mixed
Covering
—
analysts
0 bullish · 0 bearish · 0 covering CTA-PA
Strong Buy
0
Buy
0
Hold
0
Sell
0
Strong Sell
0
Consensus Target
—
— vs today
Scenario Range
$47 – $99
Model bear to bull value window
Coverage
—
Published analyst ratings
Valuation Context
13.6x
Forward P/E · Market cap $35.9B
CTA-PA price targets
Three scenarios for where CTA-PA stock could go
Current
~$53
Confidence
38 / 100
Updated
—
Where we are now
Current · $53
Bear
$47
Base
$75
Bull
$99
Market caseClosest to today
Base case
$75+41.1%
At 19x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
Stress case
Bear case
$47-11.1%
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 2x multiple contraction could push CTA-PA down roughly 11% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.
EIDP, Inc.
CTA-PA · NYSEBasic MaterialsAgricultural InputsDecember year-end
Corteva Agriscience is a global agricultural science company that develops and sells seeds and crop protection products to farmers worldwide. It generates revenue primarily through its Seed segment (~60% of sales) and Crop Protection segment (~40%), which includes herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides. The company's competitive advantage lies in its extensive germplasm library, proprietary trait technologies, and integrated seed-and-chemistry platform that creates switching costs for farmers.
Market Cap
$35.9B
Revenue TTM
$17.9B
Net Income TTM
$1.2B
Net Margin
6.5%
CTA-PA Revenue and Earnings Performance
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
EPS Beat Rate
100%Exceptional
12 quarters tracked
Revenue Beat Rate
0%Mixed
vs consensus estimates
Avg EPS Surprise
+187.0%
above Street consensus
Beat / Miss Record
BeatMissLeft = EPS · Right = Revenue
Q2 2025
Q3 2025
Q4 2025
Q2 2026
Last 4 Quarters
EPS beats: 1 of 4Q2 2025
EPS
$0.95/—
Revenue
$4.4B/—
Q3 2025
EPS
$1.91/—
Revenue
$6.5B/—
Q4 2025
EPS
—/—
Revenue
$2.6B/—
Q2 2026
EPS
$1.07/$0.37
Revenue
$4.9B/$8.9B
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $0.95/— | — | $4.4B/— | — |
| Q3 2025 | $1.91/— | — | $6.5B/— | — |
| Q4 2025 | —/— | — | $2.6B/— | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.07/$0.37 | +187.0% | $4.9B/$8.9B | -44.8% |
FY1–FY2 Estimates
Revenue Outlook
FY1
$18.6B
+4.1% YoY
FY2
$19.9B
+6.8% YoY
EPS Outlook
FY1
$2.05
— YoY
FY2
$2.24
+9.4% YoY
Trailing FCF (TTM)$2.0B
FCF Margin: 11.4%
Next Earnings
—
Expected EPS
—
Expected Revenue
—
CTA-PA beat EPS estimates in 1 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
CTA-PA Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest disclosure
FY 2025
Total disclosed revenue $10.7B
Product Mix
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Seed
65.2%
+7.8% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Geographic Mix
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Seed
100.0%
+7.8% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Seed is the largest disclosed segment at 65.2% of FY 2025 revenue, up 7.8% YoY.
Seed is the largest reported region at 100.0%, up 7.8% YoY.
CTA-PA Valuation Snapshot
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Relative Value Signal
Cheap versus peers
Fair value est. $5M — implies +10167855.3% from today's price.
Upside to Fair Value
10167855.3%
potential upside
Deep DiscountFair ValueVery Expensive
vs S&P 500 Trailing P/E
CTA-PA
33.2x
vs
S&P 500
24.9x
+33% premium
vs Basic Materials Trailing P/E
CTA-PA
33.2x
vs
Basic Materials
22.6x
+47% premium
vs CTA-PA 5Y Avg P/E
Today
33.2x
vs
5Y Average
47.6x
30% discount
Forward PE
13.6x
S&P 500
19.2x
-29%
Basic Materials
14.5x
-6%
5Y Avg
—
—
Trailing PE
33.2x
S&P 500
24.9x
+33%
Basic Materials
22.6x
+47%
5Y Avg
47.6x
-30%
PEG Ratio
0.24x
S&P 500
1.66x
-86%
Basic Materials
1.16x
-80%
5Y Avg
—
—
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
S&P 500
15.3x
-45%
Basic Materials
10.6x
-20%
5Y Avg
18.4x
-54%
Price/FCF
12.8x
S&P 500
20.9x
-39%
Basic Materials
28.3x
-55%
5Y Avg
35.1x
-64%
Price/Sales
2.1x
S&P 500
3.1x
-34%
Basic Materials
1.8x
+18%
5Y Avg
3.4x
-39%
Dividend Yield
100.00%
S&P 500
1.91%
+5145%
Basic Materials
1.42%
+6937%
5Y Avg
0.81%
+12295%
| Metric | CTA-PA | S&P 500 | Basic Materials | 5Y Avg CTA-PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 13.6x | 19.2x-29% | 14.5x | — |
| Trailing PE | 33.2x | 24.9x+33% | 22.6x+47% | 47.6x-30% |
| PEG Ratio | 0.24x | 1.66x-86% | 1.16x-80% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.5x | 15.3x-45% | 10.6x-20% | 18.4x-54% |
| Price/FCF | 12.8x | 20.9x-39% | 28.3x-55% | 35.1x-64% |
| Price/Sales | 2.1x | 3.1x-34% | 1.8x+18% | 3.4x-39% |
| Dividend Yield | 100.00% | 1.91% | 1.42% | 0.81% |
CTA-PA trades above S&P 500 benchmarks on 1 of 6 measured multiples — appears modestly priced relative to the S&P 500 on most measures.
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolCTA-PA Financial Health
Verdict
Strong
CTA-PA generates $2.0B in free cash flow at a 11.4% margin — returns 100.0% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Cash Engine
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
Revenue (TTM)
Trailing-twelve-month sales base
$17.9B
Revenue Growth
TTM vs prior year
+6.3%
Gross Margin
Gross profit as a share of revenue
32.8%
Operating Margin
Operating income divided by revenue
15.2%
Net Margin
Net income divided by revenue
6.5%
EPS (TTM)
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months
—
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
Cash generation after capex
$2.0B
FCF Margin
FCF as share of revenue — the primary cash quality signal
11.4%
Capital Quality
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
ROIC
Return on invested capital — primary competitive quality signal
9.0%
ROA
Return on assets, trailing twelve months
2.8%
Cash & Equivalents
Liquid assets on the balance sheet
$4.5B
Net Cash
Cash exceeds total debt — no net leverage
$1.9B
Debt Serviceability
Net debt as a multiple of annual free cash flow
Net cash ✓
ROE
Return on equity, trailing twelve months
4.7%
Shareholder Returns
How capital is returned to owners
Total shareholder yield
100.0%
Dividend
100.0%
Buyback
3.0%
Share Repurchases
Trailing buyback outflow — dollar magnitude of capital returned
$1.1B
Dividend / Share
Annualized trailing dividend per share
$999999.00
Payout Ratio
Share of earnings distributed as dividends
43.0%
Shares Outstanding
Declining as buybacks retire shares
676M
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageCTA-PA Stock Risk Factors
Key factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
Medium
Low EPS Confidence
The projected EPS for the next fiscal year has a low confidence score of 43/100, indicating uncertainty in revenue trajectory and margin path.
High Risk
Financial Health Risk
The Altman Z-Score of 1.98 and StockBond Score of -3.75 suggest elevated financial distress and credit risk.
Lower
Regulatory Transparency
8-K filings indicate material risks and financial operations, but reliance on regulatory disclosures may lag real-time developments.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Why CTA-PA Stock Could Outperform
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
Stable dividend yield
EIDP's 6% dividend yield and $50B market cap suggest financial stability and attractiveness to income-focused investors.
Global food demand growth
As an established player in agricultural inputs, EIDP is well-positioned to benefit from increasing global food demand.
Bio-based product potential
Potential success in new bio-based products could drive growth and diversify EIDP's revenue streams.
Regulatory transparency
EIDP's regulatory filings are tracked in the SEC EDGAR system, ensuring transparency and accessibility for investors.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
CTA-PA Stock Price Performance
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Current Price
$53.14
52W Range Position
4%
52-Week Range
Current price plotted between the 52-week low and high.
52-Week Low
$52.94
+0.4% from the low
52-Week High
$57.81
-8.1% from the high
1 Month
-1.75%
3 Month
-3.21%
YTD
-1.8%
1 Year
-3.2%
3Y CAGR
-4.7%
5Y CAGR
-11.3%
10Y CAGR
-4.9%
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
CTA-PA vs Peers
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
Peer Set
Accurate peer set
Forward PE
13.6x
vs 9.2x median
+48% above peer median
Revenue Growth
+4.1%
vs +2.7% median
+52% above peer median
Net Margin
6.5%
vs -3.4% median
+290% above peer median
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CTA CTA-PA EIDP, Inc. | $35.9B | 13.6x | +4.1% | 6.5% | — | — |
DD DD DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | $19.0B | 57.8x | -12.0% | -0.3% | Buy | -59.1% |
DOW DOW Dow Inc. | $21.1B | 9.2x | +4.6% | -7.0% | Hold | +34.3% |
LYB LYB LyondellBasell Industries N.V. | $18.0B | 5.9x | +2.9% | -3.4% | Hold | +43.6% |
EMN EMN Eastman Chemical Company | $8.1B | 11.1x | +0.1% | 4.6% | Buy | +13.1% |
CE CE Celanese Corporation | $5.5B | 7.9x | +2.7% | -10.8% | Hold | +34.1% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
CTA-PA Dividend and Capital Return
CTA-PA returns 100.0% total yield, led by a 100.00% dividend. Buybacks add another 3.0%.
Dividend SustainableFCF Stretched
Total Shareholder Yield
100.0%
Dividend + buyback return per year
Buyback Yield
3.0%
Dividend Yield
100.00%
Payout Ratio
43.0%
How CTA-PA Splits Its Return
Div 100.00%
Dividend 100.00%Buybacks 3.0%
Dividend Profile
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
Dividend / Share
Trailing annualized cash dividend
$999999.00
Growth Streak
Consecutive years of dividend increases
0Y
3Y Div CAGR
0.0%
5Y Div CAGR
0.0%
Ex-Dividend Date
—
Payment Cadence
Quarterly
5 payments over the last 12 months
Buyback Engine
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Repurchases (TTM)
Cash used for buybacks in the latest trailing period
$1.1B
Estimated Shares Retired
20M
Approx. Share Reduction
3.0%
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count from the screening snapshot
676M
At 3.0%/year, buybacks mechanically lift EPS even with flat earnings — each remaining share represents a slightly larger piece of the company.
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.63 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $3.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 2024 | $3.50 | 0.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% |
| 2023 | $3.50 | 0.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% |
| 2022 | $3.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
FAQ
6 questionsCTA-PA Investor Questions
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
01Is EIDP, Inc. (CTA-PA) stock a buy or sell in 2026?
EIDP, Inc. (CTA-PA) has limited published analyst coverage at this time. The model scenario range runs from $47 to $99 around a current price of $53. Use the scenario targets and valuation multiples on this page as a guide.
02Is EIDP, Inc. (CTA-PA) stock overvalued in 2026?
CTA-PA trades at 13.6x times forward earnings. The stock trades at a notable premium to the broad market, which is typical for businesses with strong free cash flow and above-average growth expectations. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals cheap versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
03What are the main risks for EIDP, Inc. (CTA-PA) stock in 2026?
The primary risks for CTA-PA in 2026 are: (1) Financial Health Risk — The Altman Z-Score of 1. (2) Low EPS Confidence — The projected EPS for the next fiscal year has a low confidence score of 43/100, indicating uncertainty in revenue trajectory and margin path. (3) Regulatory Transparency — 8-K filings indicate material risks and financial operations, but reliance on regulatory disclosures may lag real-time developments. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
04What is EIDP, Inc.'s revenue and earnings forecast?
Analyst consensus estimates CTA-PA will report consensus revenue of $18.6B (+4.1% year-over-year) and EPS of $2.05 for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $19.9B in revenue.
05When does EIDP, Inc. (CTA-PA) report its next earnings?
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for CTA-PA is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
06How much free cash flow does EIDP, Inc. generate?
EIDP, Inc. (CTA-PA) generated $2.0B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 11.4%. CTA-PA returns capital to shareholders through dividends (100.0% yield) and share repurchases ($1.1B TTM).