Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 1, 2026, DaVita Inc. (DVA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $168.67, based on estimates from 23 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $156.30, this represents a potential upside of +7.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $10.45B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $158.00 to a high of $190.00, representing a 19% spread in expectations. The median target of $158.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,14 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, DVA trades at a trailing P/E of 17.2x and forward P/E of 11.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.52 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +67.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $185.14, with bear and bull scenarios of $116.81 and $231.24 respectively. Model confidence stands at 54/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
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Start ComparisonThe consensus price target for DVA is $168.67, close to the current price of $156.3 (7.9% implied move). Based on 23 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
DVA has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 23 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 14 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $168.67 implies 7.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 11.021x, DVA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $168.67 implies 7.9% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $190 for DVA, while the most conservative target is $158. The consensus of $168.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $231 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
DVA is well covered by analysts, with 23 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month DVA stock forecast based on 23 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $168.67, with estimates ranging from $158 (bear case) to $190 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $185, with bear/bull scenarios of $117/$231.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates DVA's fair value at $185 (base case), with a bear case of $117 and bull case of $231. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 54/100.
DVA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 17.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
DVA appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $168.67 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DVA analyst price targets range from $158 to $190, a 19% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $168.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $117-$231 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.