6.8% Below Target

The consensus price target for EXC is $48.91, close to the current price of $45.81 (6.8% implied move). Based on 37 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

EXC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 21 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $48.91 implies 6.8% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 16.0377x, EXC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $48.91 implies 6.8% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $55 for EXC, while the most conservative target is $41. The consensus of $48.91 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $64 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

EXC is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 21 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month EXC stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $48.91, with estimates ranging from $41 (bear case) to $55 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $49, with bear/bull scenarios of $31/$64.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates EXC's fair value at $49 (base case), with a bear case of $31 and bull case of $64. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.

EXC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

EXC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $48.91 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

EXC analyst price targets range from $41 to $55, a 29% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $48.91 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $31-$64 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.