FMBH trades 3.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $50.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes FMBH achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 11.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 28, 2026, First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $50.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $48.13, this represents a potential upside of +3.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.28B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $47.00 to a high of $55.00, representing a 16% spread in expectations. The median target of $48.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, FMBH trades at a trailing P/E of 12.6x and forward P/E of 11.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.52 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +13.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $55.63, with bear and bull scenarios of $35.05 and $73.30 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MBWMMercantile Bank Corporation | $986M | $57.09 | $58.50 | +2.5% | Buy | 10.5x | 7 |
MGEEMGE Energy, Inc. | $2.9B | $79.78 | $70.00 | -12.3% | Hold | 20.3x | 4 |
QCRHQCR Holdings, Inc. | $1.6B | $98.27 | $103.00 | +4.8% | Buy | 12.0x | 8 |
MVBFMVB Financial Corp. | $373M | $28.99 | $30.00 | +3.5% | Buy | 17.5x | 8 |
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.6B | $49.59 | $56.00 | +12.9% | Hold | 11.9x | 10 |
BANFBancFirst Corporation | $3.8B | $114.58 | $125.00 | +9.1% | Hold | 15.6x | 3 |
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $5.0B | $35.24 | $39.25 | +11.4% | Hold | 17.3x | 15 |
FULTFulton Financial Corporation | $4.6B | $24.21 | $23.50 | -2.9% | Hold | 11.9x | 20 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $747M | $36.23 | $38.00 | +4.9% | Hold | 10.2x | 7 |
SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | $3.3B | $22.93 | $23.00 | +0.3% | Buy | 11.1x | 9 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FMBH stock.
The consensus price target for FMBH is $50, close to the current price of $48.13 (3.9% implied move). Based on 5 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
FMBH has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $50 implies 3.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.9743x, FMBH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $50 implies 3.9% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $55 for FMBH, while the most conservative target is $47. The consensus of $50 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $73 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FMBH is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FMBH stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $50, with estimates ranging from $47 (bear case) to $55 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $56, with bear/bull scenarios of $35/$73.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FMBH's fair value at $56 (base case), with a bear case of $35 and bull case of $73. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
FMBH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
FMBH appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $50 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FMBH analyst price targets range from $47 to $55, a 16% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $50 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $35-$73 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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