Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $76.00, based on estimates from 36 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $69.09, this represents a potential upside of +10.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.44B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $64.00 to a high of $88.00, representing a 32% spread in expectations. The median target of $77.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 15 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,21 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, FND trades at a trailing P/E of 36.0x and forward P/E of 33.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 38.90 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $84.76, with bear and bull scenarios of $65.92 and $195.44 respectively. Model confidence stands at 74/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.
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Start ComparisonFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) has a consensus 12-month price target of $76, implying 10.0% upside from $69.09. The 36 analysts covering FND see moderate appreciation potential.
FND has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 36 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 21 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $76 implies 10.0% upside from current levels.
FND trades at a forward P/E of 33.2531x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $76 (10.0% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $88 for FND, while the most conservative target is $64. The consensus of $76 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $195 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FND is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 36 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 15 have Buy ratings, 21 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FND stock forecast based on 36 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $76, with estimates ranging from $64 (bear case) to $88 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $85, with bear/bull scenarios of $66/$195.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FND's fair value at $85 (base case), with a bear case of $66 and bull case of $195. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 74/100.
FND trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 36.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on FND, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $76 price target (10.0% upside). 15 of 36 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FND analyst price targets range from $64 to $88, a 32% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $76 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $66-$195 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.