Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$51.02
Price Target
$63.18
Target Range
$51.00 — $75.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E24.4x
Trailing P/E26.6x
Forward PEG28.60
Implied Growth+7.4%
Median Target$63.00
Analyst Spread38.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$51
-0.0%
Consensus
$63
+23.8%
Bull Case
$75
+47.0%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 74/100
Bear$46
Base$56
Bull$136
FND Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $63.18, based on estimates from 37 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $51.02, this represents a potential upside of +30.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.51B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $51.00 to a high of $75.00, representing a 38% spread in expectations. The median target of $63.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 15 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,22 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, FND trades at a trailing P/E of 26.6x and forward P/E of 24.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 28.60 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +7.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $56.22, with bear and bull scenarios of $45.77 and $136.08 respectively. Model confidence stands at 74/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+31.3%
Avg Forward P/E18.4x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TILEInterface, Inc. | $1.6B | $27.85 | $36.00 | +31.9% | Buy | 13.0x | 12 |
 MHKMohawk Industries, Inc. | $6.4B | $104.38 | $130.00 | +33.5% | Hold | 10.6x | 32 |
 HDThe Home Depot, Inc. | $321.1B | $323.05 | $408.08 | +29.5% | Buy | 21.0x | 62 |
 LOWLowe's Companies, Inc. | $130.7B | $233.36 | $288.25 | +28.0% | Buy | 17.9x | 51 |
 BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | $8.9B | $80.03 | $109.92 | +47.4% | Buy | 13.2x | 43 |
 AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | $7.1B | $166.23 | $197.50 | +20.1% | Buy | 19.8x | 26 |
 SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Company | $79.8B | $323.63 | $389.43 | +24.6% | Buy | 26.6x | 38 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.2B | $39.91 | $44.50 | +18.4% | Hold | 23.0x | 31 |
 WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. | $23.0B | $186.47 | $200.25 | +11.1% | Hold | 20.7x | 56 |
 RHRh | $2.5B | $131.70 | $208.00 | +68.4% | Buy | 17.9x | 37 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonFND — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FND stock.
What is the FND stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for FND is $63.18, representing 30.8% upside from the current price of $51.02. With 37 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is FND a buy, sell, or hold?
FND has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 22 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $63.18 implies 30.8% upside from current levels.
Is FND stock overvalued or undervalued?
FND trades at a forward P/E of 24.4458x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $63.18 (30.8% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can FND stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $75 for FND, while the most conservative target is $51. The consensus of $63.18 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $136 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover FND stock?
FND is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 15 have Buy ratings, 22 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the FND stock forecast?
The 12-month FND stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $63.18, with estimates ranging from $51 (bear case) to $75 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $56, with bear/bull scenarios of $46/$136.
What is FND's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FND's fair value at $56 (base case), with a bear case of $46 and bull case of $136. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 74/100.
What is FND's forward P/E ratio?
FND trades at a forward P/E ratio of 24.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy FND stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on FND, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $63.18 price target (30.8% upside). 15 of 37 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do FND price targets vary so much?
FND analyst price targets range from $51 to $75, a 38% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $63.18 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $46-$136 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.