First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$62.52
Price Target
$65.00
Target Range
$62.00 — $68.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E29.9x
Trailing P/E33.4x
Forward PEG7.29
Implied Growth-19.0%
Median Target$65.50
Analyst Spread9.2%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$62
-0.8%
Consensus
$65
+4.0%
Bull Case
$68
+8.8%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 66/100
Bear$82
Base$91
Bull$187
FR Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $65.00, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $62.52, this represents a potential upside of +4.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $8.29B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $62.00 to a high of $68.00, representing a 9% spread in expectations. The median target of $65.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 18 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, FR trades at a trailing P/E of 33.4x and forward P/E of 29.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 7.29 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -19.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $91.33, with bear and bull scenarios of $82.20 and $186.77 respectively. Model confidence stands at 66/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+6.4%
Avg Forward P/E112.9x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PLDPrologis, Inc. | $132.7B | $142.90 | $144.43 | +1.1% | Buy | 41.6x | 42 |
 EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc. | $10.9B | $202.93 | $204.73 | +0.9% | Hold | 35.9x | 33 |
 REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | $8.6B | $36.23 | $42.50 | +17.3% | Hold | 31.0x | 21 |
 STAGSTAG Industrial, Inc. | $7.4B | $38.55 | $45.50 | +18.0% | Buy | 38.0x | 21 |
 LXPLXP Industrial Trust | $3.1B | $52.25 | $51.00 | -2.4% | Buy | 749.6x | 15 |
 TRNOTerreno Realty Corporation | $7.0B | $66.09 | $69.60 | +5.3% | Buy | 48.5x | 32 |
 ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties Trust | $524M | $7.86 | $7.40 | -5.9% | Buy | — | 9 |
 GTYGetty Realty Corp. | $2.0B | $33.08 | $34.00 | +2.8% | Buy | 22.0x | 13 |
 AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $3.0T | $274.95 | $306.77 | +11.6% | Buy | 35.3x | 94 |
 UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $84.9B | $99.88 | $115.23 | +15.4% | Hold | 14.1x | 45 |
Upside Potential Comparison
STAGREXRUPSAMZNTRNOGTYPLDEGPSee FR's True Return
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorIs FR Undervalued?
DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.
View ValuationCompare FR vs WELL
Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs Welltower Inc..
Start ComparisonFR — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FR stock.
What is the FR stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for FR is $65, close to the current price of $62.52 (4.0% implied move). Based on 29 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is FR a buy, sell, or hold?
FR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 18 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $65 implies 4.0% upside from current levels.
Is FR stock overvalued or undervalued?
FR trades at a forward P/E of 29.8696x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $65 (4.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can FR stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $68 for FR, while the most conservative target is $62. The consensus of $65 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $187 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover FR stock?
FR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 18 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the FR stock forecast?
The 12-month FR stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $65, with estimates ranging from $62 (bear case) to $68 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $91, with bear/bull scenarios of $82/$187.
What is FR's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FR's fair value at $91 (base case), with a bear case of $82 and bull case of $187. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 66/100.
What is FR's forward P/E ratio?
FR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 33.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy FR stock?
FR appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $65 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do FR price targets vary so much?
FR analyst price targets range from $62 to $68, a 9% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $65 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $82-$187 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.