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STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$39.22
Market reference
Price Target
$45.00
+14.7% Upside
Target Range
$39.00 — $59.00
Wide divergence
Analyst Rating
Buy
21 analysts
Forward P/E38.5x
Trailing P/E26.9x
Forward PEG18.92
Implied Growth-21.1%
Median Target$41.00
Analyst Spread44.4%

STAG trades near analyst consensus with +14.7% potential upside. Limited near-term catalysts may be priced in at current levels.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$39.22
Consensus$45.00
High$59.00
Low$39.00
Model$38.27
Bear Case
$39
-0.6%
Consensus
$45
+14.7%
Bull Case
$59
+50.4%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 66/100
Bear$51
Base$38
Bull$611

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 21 published analyst recommendations for STAG

43% hold / mixed conviction
+14
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 21 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage21 Analysts
Net Score+14
Bull / Bear43% / 14%
Strong Buy00%
Buy943%
Hold943%
Sell314%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
943%
Hold
943%
Sell
314%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix43% Buy · 43% Hold · 14% Sell
Buy (9)Hold (9)Sell (3)

STAG Price Target Analysis

Updated March 2, 2026

As of March 2, 2026, STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $45.00, based on estimates from 21 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $39.22, this represents a potential upside of +14.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.32B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $39.00 to a high of $59.00, representing a 44% spread in expectations. The median target of $41.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 9 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, STAG trades at a trailing P/E of 26.9x and forward P/E of 38.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 18.92 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -21.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $38.27, with bear and bull scenarios of $51.34 and $610.56 respectively. Model confidence stands at 66/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+7.4%
Avg Forward P/E203.6x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
STAGSTAG Industrial, Inc.
$7.3B$39.22$45.00+14.7%Buy38.5x21
PLDPrologis, Inc.$132.4B$142.57$136.00-4.6%Buy42.6x41
EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.$10.5B$196.31$200.38+2.1%Hold38.6x33
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.$8.7B$37.47$42.80+14.2%Hold33.5x21
FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.$8.4B$63.14$63.89+1.2%Buy36.5x29
TRNOTerreno Realty Corporation$6.8B$66.06$69.60+5.4%Buy48.7x32
GRP-UNGranite Real Estate Investment Trust$3.9B$65.09——Buy10.3x2
LXPLXP Industrial Trust$2.9B$49.56$31.25-36.9%Buy1380.5x15
PLYMPlymouth Industrial REIT, Inc.$979M$21.98$22.00+0.1%Hold—16
ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties Trust$391M$5.86$10.00+70.6%Buy—8

Upside Potential Comparison

ILPT
+70.6%
STAG
+14.7%
REXR
+14.2%
TRNO
+5.4%
EGP
+2.1%
FR
+1.2%
PLYM
+0.1%
PLD
-4.6%

See STAG's True Return

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Is STAG Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare STAG vs WELL

See how STAG stacks up against sector leader Welltower Inc..

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the STAG stock price target for 2026?

STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) has a consensus 12-month price target of $45, implying 14.7% upside from $39.22. The 21 analysts covering STAG see moderate appreciation potential.

Is STAG a buy, sell, or hold?

STAG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 21 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 9 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $45 implies 14.7% upside from current levels.

Is STAG stock overvalued or undervalued?

At a forward P/E of 38.5265x, STAG trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $45 (14.7% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.

How high can STAG stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $59 for STAG, while the most conservative target is $39. The consensus of $45 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $611 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover STAG stock?

STAG is well covered by analysts, with 21 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the STAG stock forecast?

The 12-month STAG stock forecast based on 21 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $45, with estimates ranging from $39 (bear case) to $59 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $38, with bear/bull scenarios of $51/$611.

What is STAG's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates STAG's fair value at $38 (base case), with a bear case of $51 and bull case of $611. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 66/100.

What is STAG's forward P/E ratio?

STAG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.9x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy STAG stock?

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on STAG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $45 price target (14.7% upside). 9 of 21 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do STAG price targets vary so much?

STAG analyst price targets range from $39 to $59, a 44% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $45 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $51-$611 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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