3.1% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for GRDN is $41, -3.1% from its current price of $42.31. The below-market target from 4 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

GRDN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $41 implies -3.1% downside from current levels.

GRDN trades at a forward P/E of 33.5794x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $41 (-3.1% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $47 for GRDN, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $41 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $43 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

GRDN is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month GRDN stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $41, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $47 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $33, with bear/bull scenarios of $21/$43.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates GRDN's fair value at $33 (base case), with a bear case of $21 and bull case of $43. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

GRDN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 54.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on GRDN, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $41 (-3.1% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

GRDN analyst price targets range from $36 to $47, a 27% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $41 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $21-$43 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.