Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$87.77
Price Target
$112.50
Target Range
$105.00 — $120.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E11.4x
Trailing P/E81.3x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+195.4%
Median Target$112.50
Analyst Spread13.3%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$105
+19.6%
Consensus
$113
+28.2%
Bull Case
$120
+36.7%
HCC Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $112.50, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $87.77, this represents a potential upside of +28.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.63B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $105.00 to a high of $120.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $112.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, HCC trades at a trailing P/E of 81.3x and forward P/E of 11.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +195.4% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+8.6%
Avg Forward P/E16.1x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | $2.5B | $193.43 | $189.50 | -2.0% | Hold | 20.0x | 4 |
 SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $621M | $7.32 | $9.00 | +23.0% | Buy | 20.1x | 17 |
 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation | $2.9B | $24.07 | $36.50 | +51.6% | Hold | 7.9x | 33 |
 ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. | $3.3B | $25.55 | $30.00 | +17.4% | Hold | 11.2x | 18 |
 FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc. | $53.6B | $190.44 | $201.27 | +5.7% | Buy | 10.7x | 51 |
 NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P. | $1.5B | $113.03 | — | — | Hold | 23.9x | 10 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $51.6B | $226.70 | $222.83 | -1.7% | Buy | 16.2x | 32 |
 STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $33.7B | $232.92 | $188.40 | -19.1% | Buy | 15.6x | 27 |
 CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $6.1B | $10.65 | $11.11 | +4.3% | Hold | — | 43 |
 RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. | $18.9B | $369.15 | $362.00 | -1.9% | Hold | 18.9x | 27 |
Upside Potential Comparison
BTUSXCARLPFANGCLFNUERSAMRSee HCC's True Return
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorIs HCC Undervalued?
DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.
View ValuationCompare HCC vs SOC
Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs Sable Offshore Corp..
Start ComparisonHCC — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HCC stock.
What is the HCC stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for HCC is $112.5, representing 28.2% upside from the current price of $87.77. With 24 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is HCC a buy, sell, or hold?
HCC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $112.5 implies 28.2% upside from current levels.
Is HCC stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 11.399x, HCC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $112.5 implies 28.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can HCC stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $120 for HCC, while the most conservative target is $105. The consensus of $112.5 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover HCC stock?
HCC is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the HCC stock forecast?
The 12-month HCC stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $112.5, with estimates ranging from $105 (bear case) to $120 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold".
What is HCC's forward P/E ratio?
HCC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 81.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy HCC stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on HCC, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $112.5 price target (28.2% upside). 8 of 24 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do HCC price targets vary so much?
HCC analyst price targets range from $105 to $120, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $112.5 consensus represents the middle ground.