AMR trades 4.1% above Wall Street's consensus target of $173.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AMR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $173.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $180.40, this represents a potential downside of -4.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.29B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $160.00 to a high of $194.00, representing a 20% spread in expectations. The median target of $165.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, AMR trades at a trailing P/E of -38.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +1.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $149.60, with bear and bull scenarios of $94.25 and $197.11 respectively. Model confidence stands at 36/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.8B | $90.24 | $100.00 | +10.8% | Hold | 14.8x | 24 |
 SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $844M | $9.95 | $9.00 | -9.5% | Buy | 28.8x | 17 |
 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation | $3.2B | $26.41 | $36.50 | +38.2% | Hold | — | 33 |
 FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc. | $52.2B | $185.65 | $222.36 | +19.8% | Buy | 9.0x | 53 |
 METCRamaco Resources, Inc. | $499M | $9.28 | $11.67 | +25.8% | Buy | — | 9 |
 ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. | $3.3B | $25.55 | $30.00 | +17.4% | Hold | 10.6x | 18 |
 NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P. | $1.4B | $107.58 | — | — | Hold | 22.8x | 10 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $56.2B | $246.98 | $265.38 | +7.4% | Buy | 12.9x | 32 |
 STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $33.8B | $234.29 | $271.17 | +15.7% | Buy | 13.4x | 27 |
 CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $7.3B | $12.87 | $11.66 | -9.4% | Hold | — | 44 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AMR stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for AMR is $173, -4.1% from its current price of $180.4. The below-market target from 4 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
AMR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $173 implies -4.1% downside from current levels.
AMR's current price is $180.4 with a consensus target of $173 (-4.1% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is fairly valued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $194 for AMR, while the most conservative target is $160. The consensus of $173 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $197 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AMR is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AMR stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $173, with estimates ranging from $160 (bear case) to $194 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $150, with bear/bull scenarios of $94/$197.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AMR's fair value at $150 (base case), with a bear case of $94 and bull case of $197. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 36/100.
Analysts are cautious on AMR, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $173 (-4.1% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMR analyst price targets range from $160 to $194, a 20% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $173 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $94-$197 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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