AMR trades 14.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $170.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AMR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 9, 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $170.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $147.93, this represents a potential upside of +14.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.88B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $160.00 to a high of $180.00, representing a 12% spread in expectations. The median target of $170.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, AMR trades at a trailing P/E of -37.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +61.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $129.62, with bear and bull scenarios of $81.66 and $170.78 respectively. Model confidence stands at 36/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.4B | $84.15 | $102.00 | +21.2% | Hold | 12.6x | 24 |
 SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $832M | $9.80 | $9.00 | -8.2% | Buy | 20.4x | 18 |
 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation | $2.0B | $16.03 | $30.50 | +90.3% | Hold | — | 34 |
 FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc. | $50.3B | $178.96 | $235.87 | +31.8% | Buy | 7.8x | 53 |
 METCRamaco Resources, Inc. | $336M | $6.24 | $10.67 | +71.0% | Buy | — | 9 |
 ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. | $3.1B | $24.39 | $30.00 | +23.0% | Hold | 9.3x | 18 |
 NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P. | $1.6B | $117.71 | — | — | Hold | 24.9x | 10 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $55.8B | $244.97 | $300.63 | +22.7% | Buy | 12.4x | 33 |
 STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $32.1B | $222.90 | $275.17 | +23.4% | Buy | 12.6x | 27 |
 CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $6.5B | $11.46 | $14.00 | +22.2% | Hold | 285.1x | 44 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AMR stock.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) has a consensus 12-month price target of $170, implying 14.9% upside from $147.93. The 5 analysts covering AMR see moderate appreciation potential.
AMR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $170 implies 14.9% upside from current levels.
AMR's current price is $147.93 with a consensus target of $170 (14.9% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $180 for AMR, while the most conservative target is $160. The consensus of $170 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $171 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AMR is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AMR stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $170, with estimates ranging from $160 (bear case) to $180 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $130, with bear/bull scenarios of $82/$171.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AMR's fair value at $130 (base case), with a bear case of $82 and bull case of $171. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 36/100.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on AMR, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $170 price target (14.9% upside). 1 of 5 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMR analyst price targets range from $160 to $180, a 12% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $170 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $82-$171 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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