Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 4 analysts2.0% Below Target
AMR trades 2.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $189.50.
Current Price$185.77
Average Target$189.50
Target
Current
Low$185.00
Median$189.50
High$194.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E46.4x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+232.1%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread4.7%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes AMR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 46.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
AMR Price Target Analysis
Updated June 21, 2026As of June 21, 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $189.50, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $185.77, this represents a potential upside of +2.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.36B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $185.00 to a high of $194.00, representing a 5% spread in expectations. The median target of $189.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, AMR trades at a trailing P/E of -39.1x and forward P/E of 46.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +232.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $149.60, with bear and bull scenarios of $94.25 and $197.11 respectively. Model confidence stands at 36/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+20.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
19.8x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.8B | $90.58 | $112.50 | +24.2% | Hold | 14.0x | 24 |
 SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $733M | $8.64 | $9.00 | +4.2% | Buy | 40.2x | 17 |
 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation | $3.0B | $24.80 | $36.50 | +47.2% | Hold | 32.8x | 33 |
 FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc. | $51.6B | $183.50 | $218.29 | +19.0% | Buy | 9.0x | 51 |
 METCRamaco Resources, Inc. | $760M | $13.99 | $23.33 | +66.8% | Buy | — | 9 |
 ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. | $3.0B | $23.52 | $30.00 | +27.6% | Hold | 10.1x | 18 |
 NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P. | $1.3B | $100.79 | — | — | Hold | 21.3x | 10 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $55.5B | $243.83 | $239.57 | -1.7% | Buy | 16.0x | 32 |
 STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $36.2B | $249.91 | $235.25 | -5.9% | Buy | 15.4x | 27 |
 CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $7.0B | $12.28 | $12.17 | -0.9% | Hold | — | 43 |
AMR — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AMR stock.
What is the AMR stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for AMR is $189.5, close to the current price of $185.77 (2.0% implied move). Based on 4 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is AMR a buy, sell, or hold?
AMR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $189.5 implies 2.0% upside from current levels.
Is AMR stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 46.4135x, AMR trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $189.5 (2.0% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can AMR stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $194 for AMR, while the most conservative target is $185. The consensus of $189.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $197 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover AMR stock?
AMR is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the AMR stock forecast?
The 12-month AMR stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $189.5, with estimates ranging from $185 (bear case) to $194 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $150, with bear/bull scenarios of $94/$197.
What is AMR's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AMR's fair value at $150 (base case), with a bear case of $94 and bull case of $197. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 36/100.
What is AMR's forward P/E ratio?
AMR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 46.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy AMR stock?
AMR appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $189.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do AMR price targets vary so much?
AMR analyst price targets range from $185 to $194, a 5% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $189.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $94-$197 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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Peer Comparison
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