27.6% Below Target

The consensus Wall Street price target for ARLP is $30, representing 27.6% upside from the current price of $23.52. With 18 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

ARLP has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $30 implies 27.6% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 10.1161x, ARLP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $30 implies 27.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $30 for ARLP, while the most conservative target is $30. The consensus of $30 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $31 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ARLP is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ARLP stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $30, with estimates ranging from $30 (bear case) to $30 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $23, with bear/bull scenarios of $15/$31.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARLP's fair value at $23 (base case), with a bear case of $15 and bull case of $31. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.

ARLP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.7x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on ARLP, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $30 price target (27.6% upside). 8 of 18 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ARLP analyst price targets range from $30 to $30, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $30 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $15-$31 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.