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HDThe Home Depot, Inc.
$337.88$336.5B
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The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Research Brief

Wall Street consensus, price target range, and equity research thesis

Buy62 Analyst Coverage
Consensus Target
$374+10.7% Upside
Current: $337.88
Analyst Range
Low $320High $435
12-Month High/Low Spread
Ratings Mix
37 Buy·21 Hold·4 Sell
Earnings & Valuation
EPS Beat 0.6%
Forward P/E: 22.6x

Executive Summary & Research Take

Wall Street currently rates HD buy with a 12-month price target of $374 (+10.7% upside). The sections below cover the bull case, key risks, and latest earnings context for The Home Depot, Inc..

Recent Analyst Actions

HD Analyst Upgrades & Price Target Changes

14 of 17 analysts cut targets. Recent price target changes and ratings for HD.

Updated Jun 2026
FirmActionRatingPrice Target
Piper SandlerCutOverweight$421$378
Truist SecuritiesCutBuy$394$369
UBSCutBuy$450$430
TD CowenCutBuy$450$375
RBC CapitalCutSector Perform$377$340
DA DavidsonCutBuy$445$377
DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$445$445
GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$425$425

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Analyst Research Summary

Investment Thesis: Bull Case & Risk Factors

A structured look at the bull case, the risks, and the most recent earnings execution for HD.

Current setup

HD beat estimates last quarter. Below are the key reasons analysts remain constructive and the risks that could change that view.

Bull Case

What keeps the long thesis intact

  • Strong Market PositionHome Depot is a leading home improvement retailer with a strong market presence, bolstered by recent acquisitions and expansion into specialty trade distribution.
  • Institutional InterestRecent increases in stakes by hedge funds indicate growing confidence from large investors in Home Depot.
  • Potential Housing Market RecoveryA recovering housing market could provide stability and growth opportunities for Home Depot.
  • Analyst OptimismThe average 12-month price forecast from analysts is around $414.17, with some targets as high as $470.00, suggesting a potential upside of over 25%.
  • Interest Rate EnvironmentPotential interest rate cuts by the FOMC could support the housing market and boost Home Depot's revenue and profitability.
  • Seasonality AdvantageHistorically, May has shown a 53.85% probability of positive returns for HD stock.

Wall Street rates HD buy, giving the bull case institutional backing from 62 analysts.

Watch Out For

What can break the setup quickly

  • Macroeconomic HeadwindsWeak consumer sentiment, a soft housing market, and rising energy costs are creating significant headwinds for Home Depot.
  • Deteriorating FundamentalsRecent financial results show declining revenue, margin compression, and lower comparable transactions.
  • Valuation ConcernsSome analyses suggest HD may be overvalued, with one dividend discount model estimating fair value over 30% below the current price.
  • High Debt LevelsHome Depot's debt-to-equity ratio of 3.62 raises concerns, especially if market conditions worsen.
  • Interest Rate ImpactHigh interest rates are suppressing big-ticket transactions, delaying homeowners' renovation projects.
  • Stock Performance VolatilityRecent stock performance has shown volatility, with shares slipping even during broader market upticks.

Watch whether new negative commentary on HD points to these structural risks or is simply reacting to short-term price moves.

HD Earnings Reaction — What the Last Quarter Showed

Last Quarter

EPS
$3.43 vs $3.41 est.Beat 0.6%
Revenue
$41.8B vs $41.6B est.Beat 0.4%
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

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HD — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HD stock.

What is the analyst consensus on HD?
Verdict

HD has modest upside — analysts rate it "Buy" with a $374 target, implying +10.7% from today's $337.88. This is informational only — verify the data and consider your own risk tolerance before deciding.

What are recent analyst rating changes for HD?
Timing

Timing depends on your horizon, but the data signals are: consensus rating "Buy" with +10.7% upside to the $374 target. In the past 30 days, 14 of 17 covering analysts cut their price targets — a bearish signal.

What is the price target for HD stock?
Price Target

HD's consensus 12-month price target is $374, set by 62 Wall Street analysts. The bull case high is $435 and the bear case low is $320. From the current price of $337.88, this implies +10.7% upside.

Is HD overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation

HD appears fairly valued — the $374 consensus target is roughly in line with today's $337.88 (+10.7%). It trades at a forward P/E of 22.6x. Targets range from $320 (bear) to $435 (bull), reflecting different assumptions about growth and margins.

What were HD's latest earnings results?
Earnings

HD reports next quarter. Earnings-week moves are volatile — historically, analyst targets revise upward after a beat and downward after a miss. The current consensus is "Buy" with a $374 target. Consider position sizing rather than going all-in pre-print.

What is the bull case for HD?
Coverage

Of 62 analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. (HD): 1 Strong Buy, 36 Buy, 21 Hold, 4 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — a "Buy" consensus. The 12-month price target is $374 (range $320–$435). Bullish analysts outnumber bearish by more than 2-to-1.

What are the risks of investing in HD?
Risks

4 of the 62 analysts covering HD rate it Sell or Strong Sell. Common concerns include valuation stretch, slowing growth, and sector-specific headwinds — see the Bull vs. Risk cards above for the specific theses on The Home Depot, Inc..

Financial Data & Software Notice: VCP Scanner is an educational financial research database and stock screening software platform. VCP Scanner does not generate, recommend, or package trade decisions, buy/sell signals, or personalized investment advice. Consensus ratings and price targets reflect aggregated third-party Wall Street analyst research from public SEC filings. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.