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HRLHormel Foods Corporation
$24.16$13.3B
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HRL logo

Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 29 analysts

2.7% Above Target

HRL trades 2.7% above Wall Street's consensus target of $23.50.

Current Price$24.16
Average Target$23.50
Target
Current
Low$22.00
Median$23.50
High$25.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E16.3x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+75.4%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread12.8%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$24.16
Consensus$23.50
High$25.00
Low$22.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes HRL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 16.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 29 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 29 published analyst recommendations for HRL

55% hold / mixed conviction
-2
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 29 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage29 Analysts
Net Score-2
Bull / Bear21% / 24%
Strong Buy00%
Buy621%
Hold1655%
Sell724%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
621%
Hold
1655%
Sell
724%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix21% Buy · 55% Hold · 24% Sell
Buy (6)Hold (16)Sell (7)

HRL Price Target Analysis

Updated June 20, 2026

As of June 20, 2026, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $23.50, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $24.16, this represents a potential downside of -2.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $13.30B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $22.00 to a high of $25.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $23.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 7 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, HRL trades at a trailing P/E of 27.8x and forward P/E of 16.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +75.4% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $31.85, with bear and bull scenarios of $20.07 and $41.97 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+20.1%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.2x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
TSN logo
TSNTyson Foods, Inc.
$19.7B$55.46$74.50
+34.3%
Buy13.7x30
SFD logo
SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.
$9.8B$24.94$32.00
+28.3%
Buy9.4x4
PPC logo
PPCPilgrim's Pride Corporation
$6.5B$27.32$37.33
+36.6%
Hold8.1x21
LW logo
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$6.3B$45.06$49.60
+10.1%
Hold16.3x17
CPB logo
CPBCampbell Soup Company
$6.3B$21.15$20.67
-2.3%
Hold9.7x29
CAG logo
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.
$6.3B$13.20$15.20
+15.2%
Hold7.8x25
SJM logo
SJMThe J. M. Smucker Company
$11.8B$110.86$120.33
+8.5%
Buy12.3x31
MKC logo
MKCMcCormick & Company, Incorporated
$11.8B$46.64$68.75
+47.4%
Hold15.1x30
MDLZ logo
MDLZMondelez International, Inc.
$77.2B$60.12$67.00
+11.4%
Buy19.7x41
GIS logo
GISGeneral Mills, Inc.
$17.8B$33.42$37.30
+11.6%
Hold9.8x34

HRL — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HRL stock.

What is the HRL stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for HRL is $23.5, -2.7% from its current price of $24.16. The below-market target from 29 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is HRL a buy, sell, or hold?

HRL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 7 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $23.5 implies -2.7% downside from current levels.

Is HRL stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 16.2518x, HRL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $23.5 implies -2.7% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can HRL stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $25 for HRL, while the most conservative target is $22. The consensus of $23.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $42 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover HRL stock?

HRL is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 7 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the HRL stock forecast?

The 12-month HRL stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $23.5, with estimates ranging from $22 (bear case) to $25 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $32, with bear/bull scenarios of $20/$42.

What is HRL's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates HRL's fair value at $32 (base case), with a bear case of $20 and bull case of $42. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.

What is HRL's forward P/E ratio?

HRL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 27.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy HRL stock?

Analysts are cautious on HRL, with 7 Sell ratings and a price target of $23.5 (-2.7% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do HRL price targets vary so much?

HRL analyst price targets range from $22 to $25, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $23.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $20-$42 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into HRL consensus models and risk factors.

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Peer Comparison

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