SFD trades 28.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $32.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SFD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $32.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $24.94, this represents a potential upside of +28.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.80B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $32.00 to a high of $32.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $32.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, SFD trades at a trailing P/E of 9.9x and forward P/E of 9.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $29.48, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.57 and $38.84 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TSNTyson Foods, Inc. | $19.7B | $55.46 | $74.50 | +34.3% | Buy | 13.7x | 30 |
HRLHormel Foods Corporation | $13.3B | $24.16 | $23.50 | -2.7% | Hold | 16.3x | 29 |
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $6.3B | $84.20 | $97.50 | +15.8% | Buy | 17.6x | 22 |
PPCPilgrim's Pride Corporation | $6.5B | $27.32 | $37.33 | +36.6% | Hold | 8.1x | 21 |
CAGConagra Brands, Inc. | $6.3B | $13.20 | $15.20 | +15.2% | Hold | 7.8x | 25 |
JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | $912M | $78.04 | — | — | Buy | 11.9x | 2 |
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company | $36.2B | $75.10 | $75.25 | +0.2% | Hold | 16.2x | 36 |
BGBunge Global S.A. | $21.8B | $112.58 | $133.67 | +18.7% | Buy | 12.1x | 25 |
INGRIngredion Incorporated | $6.2B | $97.93 | $117.00 | +19.5% | Hold | 9.1x | 21 |
MKCMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | $11.8B | $46.64 | $68.75 | +47.4% | Hold | 15.1x | 30 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SFD stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for SFD is $32, representing 28.3% upside from the current price of $24.94. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
SFD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $32 implies 28.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 9.3766x, SFD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $32 implies 28.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $32 for SFD, while the most conservative target is $32. The consensus of $32 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $39 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SFD is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SFD stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $32, with estimates ranging from $32 (bear case) to $32 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $29, with bear/bull scenarios of $19/$39.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SFD's fair value at $29 (base case), with a bear case of $19 and bull case of $39. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
SFD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SFD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $32 price target (28.3% upside). 4 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SFD analyst price targets range from $32 to $32, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $32 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19-$39 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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