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SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.
$24.94$9.8B
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SFD logo

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 4 analysts

28.3% Below Target

SFD trades 28.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $32.00.

Current Price$24.94
Average Target$32.00
Low$32.00
Median$32.00
High$32.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E9.4x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+4.1%
(Low)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$24.94
Consensus$32.00
High$32.00
Low$32.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes SFD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 4 published analyst recommendations for SFD

4/4 analysts are bullish
+50
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 4 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage4 Analysts
Net Score+50
Bull / Bear100% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy4100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
4100%
Hold
00%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix100% Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (4)Hold (0)Sell (0)

SFD Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $32.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $24.94, this represents a potential upside of +28.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.80B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $32.00 to a high of $32.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $32.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, SFD trades at a trailing P/E of 9.9x and forward P/E of 9.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $29.48, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.57 and $38.84 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+20.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.8x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
TSN logo
TSNTyson Foods, Inc.
$19.7B$55.46$74.50
+34.3%
Buy13.7x30
HRL logo
HRLHormel Foods Corporation
$13.3B$24.16$23.50
-2.7%
Hold16.3x29
WH logo
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
$6.3B$84.20$97.50
+15.8%
Buy17.6x22
PPC logo
PPCPilgrim's Pride Corporation
$6.5B$27.32$37.33
+36.6%
Hold8.1x21
CAG logo
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.
$6.3B$13.20$15.20
+15.2%
Hold7.8x25
JBSS logo
JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
$912M$78.04——Buy11.9x2
ADM logo
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company
$36.2B$75.10$75.25
+0.2%
Hold16.2x36
BG logo
BGBunge Global S.A.
$21.8B$112.58$133.67
+18.7%
Buy12.1x25
INGR logo
INGRIngredion Incorporated
$6.2B$97.93$117.00
+19.5%
Hold9.1x21
MKC logo
MKCMcCormick & Company, Incorporated
$11.8B$46.64$68.75
+47.4%
Hold15.1x30

SFD — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SFD stock.

What is the SFD stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for SFD is $32, representing 28.3% upside from the current price of $24.94. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is SFD a buy, sell, or hold?

SFD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $32 implies 28.3% upside from current levels.

Is SFD stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 9.3766x, SFD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $32 implies 28.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can SFD stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $32 for SFD, while the most conservative target is $32. The consensus of $32 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $39 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover SFD stock?

SFD is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the SFD stock forecast?

The 12-month SFD stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $32, with estimates ranging from $32 (bear case) to $32 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $29, with bear/bull scenarios of $19/$39.

What is SFD's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates SFD's fair value at $29 (base case), with a bear case of $19 and bull case of $39. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

What is SFD's forward P/E ratio?

SFD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy SFD stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SFD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $32 price target (28.3% upside). 4 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do SFD price targets vary so much?

SFD analyst price targets range from $32 to $32, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $32 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19-$39 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into SFD consensus models and risk factors.

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Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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