Bull case
LH would need investors to value it at roughly 48x earnings — about 33x more generous than today's 14x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where LH stock could go
LH would need investors to value it at roughly 48x earnings — about 33x more generous than today's 14x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 20x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 5x multiple contraction could push LH down roughly 33% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Labcorp is a leading provider of laboratory testing and drug development services for healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, and patients. It generates revenue primarily from diagnostic testing services (~70% of revenue) and drug development services through its Covance segment (~30%), serving both clinical diagnostics and pharmaceutical research markets. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive scale—processing over 2.5 million patient specimens weekly—and its integrated diagnostics-to-drug-development platform that creates significant switching costs for healthcare systems and pharmaceutical clients.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $3.84/$3.74 | +2.7% | $3.3B/$3.4B | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.35/$4.17 | +4.3% | $3.5B/$3.5B | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.18/$4.13 | +1.2% | $3.6B/$3.6B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07/$3.95 | +3.0% | $3.5B/$3.6B | -1.2% |
LH beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $242 — implies -5.2% from today's price.
| Metric | LH | S&P 500 | Healthcare | 5Y Avg LH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 14.4x | 19.1x-25% | 19.0x-24% | — |
| Trailing PE | 24.6x | 25.2x | 22.1x+11% | 24.6x |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.75x | 1.52x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.7x | 15.3x-17% | 14.1x-10% | 13.5x |
| Price/FCF | 17.5x | 21.3x-18% | 18.7x | 16.1x |
| Price/Sales | 1.5x | 3.1x-52% | 2.8x-47% | 1.6x |
| Dividend Yield | 1.12% | 1.88% | 1.40% | 1.18% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolLH generates $1.4B in free cash flow at a 9.8% margin — returns 3.2% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~4.8 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Lufthansa has faced significant operational disruptions, including the cancellation of 20,000 summer flights due to a severe jet fuel shortage and sharply increased prices. This situation is exacerbated by geopolitical events and disproportionately affects short-haul routes, which have a higher fuel burn per passenger kilometer.
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains elevated due to increased long-term debt taken on during the COVID-19 pandemic. This high level of debt poses a risk to financial stability and could impact the company's ability to navigate future economic challenges.
Lufthansa has been experiencing persistent negative net income, raising concerns about its profitability. Continued losses could lead to bankruptcy if the trend does not reverse.
Pilots at Lufthansa CityLine and Eurowings have authorized or are voting on strike action due to stalled negotiations on salary adjustments and pension agreements. Coordinated industrial action could significantly disrupt intra-European capacity.
Ongoing conflicts such as the war in Ukraine and the Middle East conflict, along with the risk of terrorist attacks, can directly impact Lufthansa's business operations and safety. These situations may lead to increased costs, including higher insurance premiums and fuel costs due to airspace closures.
Slower economic growth, inflation, and geopolitical crises can negatively impact demand and bookings for Lufthansa. This could lead to reduced revenue and further financial strain on the company.
EU climate protection policies, including reforms to emissions trading and potential kerosene taxes, are expected to increase costs for European airlines like Lufthansa. These regulations could create competitive disadvantages in the market.
Malfunctions in data centers during maintenance can cause widespread disruptions to flight operations, scheduling, and passenger services. Past incidents have grounded hundreds of flights, highlighting the potential impact of IT system failures.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Lufthansa achieved record financial results in 2025, with revenue increasing by 5% to €39.6 billion and adjusted operating profit climbing 20% to €2 billion. This strong performance was driven by a record seat load factor of 83.2% from 135 million passengers, indicating robust travel demand.
Lufthansa demonstrated strong pricing power and yield growth, with ancillary revenues surging 15% driven by premium product uptake. This reflects the company's ability to capitalize on increasing travel demand and enhance profitability.
Lufthansa has set ambitious margin targets of 8-10%, which analysts believe are achievable due to historical performance and peer benchmarks. The high margins in the MRO division support these targets, indicating potential for improved profitability.
The integration of ITA Airways is expected to add significant upside to Lufthansa's operations and market position. This strategic move is anticipated to enhance revenue streams and strengthen Lufthansa's competitive edge in the European airline market.
The company benefited from lower fuel prices and a weaker US dollar, which improved profitability. Additionally, flight disruption expenses fell year-on-year, contributing to a more favorable cost structure.
Lufthansa holds a near-monopolistic position on some flight routes within Europe, contributing to its solid financial data. This dominance allows the company to maintain pricing power and secure a stable revenue base.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LH LH Labcorp Holdings Inc. | $21.1B | 14.4x | +4.7% | 6.7% | Buy | +21.2% |
DGX DGX Quest Diagnostics Incorporated | $20.9B | 17.6x | +6.6% | 9.1% | Hold | +16.6% |
SLN SLNO Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. | $2.8B | 13.4x | +81.8% | 11.0% | Buy | +51.1% |
EXA EXAS Exact Sciences Corporation | $20.0B | 582.8x | +16.5% | -6.4% | Buy | -1.6% |
BIO BIO Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc. | $7.0B | 25.2x | -0.1% | 6.5% | Buy | +20.6% |
NTR NTRA Natera, Inc. | $29.6B | — | +31.7% | -14.6% | Buy | +22.0% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
LH returns capital mainly through $450M/year in buybacks (2.1% buyback yield), with a modest 1.12% dividend — combining for 3.2% total shareholder yield.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.44 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $2.88 | 0.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% |
| 2024 | $2.88 | +7.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% |
| 2023 | $2.68 | +44.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% |
| 2022 | $1.86 | — | 6.2% | 7.3% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Labcorp Holdings Inc. (LH) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 35 analysts covering the stock, 26 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 9 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $311, implying +21.2% from the current price of $257. The bear case scenario is $172 and the bull case is $853.
The Wall Street consensus price target for LH is $311 based on 35 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $334 (+30.0% from today), and the low-end target is $300 (+16.8%). The base case model target is $359.
LH trades at 14.4x times forward earnings. The stock's valuation is broadly in line with the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly overvalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for LH in 2026 are: (1) Fuel Shortages and Prices — Lufthansa has faced significant operational disruptions, including the cancellation of 20,000 summer flights due to a severe jet fuel shortage and sharply increased prices. (2) High Debt Levels — The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains elevated due to increased long-term debt taken on during the COVID-19 pandemic. (3) Negative Net Income — Lufthansa has been experiencing persistent negative net income, raising concerns about its profitability. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates LH will report consensus revenue of $14.8B (+4.7% year-over-year) and EPS of $14.27 (+25.7% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $15.6B in revenue.
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for LH is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
Labcorp Holdings Inc. (LH) generated $1.4B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 9.8%. LH returns capital to shareholders through dividends (1.1% yield) and share repurchases ($450M TTM).